Who are the best differential transfers for FPL Gameweek 3? @FPLTIPZ scours the FPL market for low-owned players with the potential to pick up big points to help shoot you up the rankings.
This week he uses our OPTA stats tool to pick out three differential FPL players for Gameweek 3 who are currently under 10% owned from a variety of price points and teams.
Don’t forget to check out our Ultimate FPL Gameweek 3 Guide, which has everything you could ever need to help you make the best decisions ahead of the deadline.
FPL Gameweek 3 Differentials
The Defender Differential – Shane Duffy – £4.1m, 9.4% owned
The opening weeks saw Konstantinos Tsimikas (£4.2m) emerge as a great cheap option. However, with Andy Robertson (£7.0m) returning to training it seems as though the Greek defender’s time in the Liverpool starting team is limited.
This has meant that Fantasy Premier League managers have needed to turn their attention to other cheap defensive options. Shane Duffy at Brighton could be this option: he combines both clean sheet potential and goal threat.
Brighton have one of the more popular defences in the league. Indeed, Robert Sanchez’s (£4.5m) 24% ownership makes him the second most popular starting goalkeeper in the league behind Emiliano Martinez (£5.5m).
That’s partly explained by their great underlying defensive stats last season. They were third for expected clean sheets, only behind Manchester City and Chelsea.
The first two Gameweeks have shown that Duffy may have the most attacking threat of all these Brighton defenders.
Duffy has had seven shots on target already this season – the highest of any defender in the league. He’s also had three shots on target – also higher than any other defender in the league.
Defenders – shots this season
Brighton have some good upcoming fixtures that could allow Duffy to continue returning. The Hub Fixture Ticker ranks the next five fixtures for Brighton as the joint-second best in the league, only behind Wolves.
This run of fixtures includes Everton, Leicester and Arsenal at home with Brentford and Crystal Palace away. Everton, who Brighton play in Gameweek 3, also sit joint top for the most chances conceded from set pieces. That offers immediate appeal for new Duffy owners.
This goal threat combined with clean sheet potential during this fixture run could allow Duffy to be an explosive FPL differential at a very affordable price.
The Midfielder Differential – Jack Harrison – £5.9m, 3.6% owned
Last season Jack Harrison was the sixth-highest scoring midfielder in Fantasy Premier League with eight goals and ten assists. From last season’s top 15 highest scoring midfielders, Harrison is the only option to be priced at less than £6.0m.
Harrison is yet to replicate his 2020/21 form so far, which has seen his ownership fall to 3.6% and price decrease by £0.1m to £5.9m. However, during the midweek between Gameweek 2 and Gameweek 3, Harrison did score twice in the 3-0 victory over Crewe Alexandra in the EFL Cup qualifiers.
Harrison’s points-per[90 last season was the second best amongst current Leeds midfielders. In fact, it was just 0.03 points behind Raphinha (£6.5m), despite Harrison being priced at £0.6m less and being owned by 14% less managers.
Leeds have had two difficult fixtures to open the season, with Manchester United and Everton in the opening two gameweeks. However, the Hub Fixture Ticker now ranks Leeds as having the fourth-best run of attacking fixtures over the next five gameweeks.
This run for Leeds includes Liverpool, West Ham and Watford at home with Burnley and Newcastle away. The fixture ticker also predicts Leeds to score more goals in this time than any other team that finished outside the top seven in the Premier League last season.
Harrison could be a good FPL differential for his increasingly affordable price-point.
The Forward Differential – Harry Kane – £12.3m, 7.4% owned
Last season Harry Kane scored more goals and registered more assists than any other player. His 37 attacking returns in 34 matches gave the Tottenham striker the highest points per start of any player in FPL, with 6.91.
Kane ranked first for shots per start with 3.91 and fifth for expected assists per start.
Kane has only played 18 minutes from the bench so far this season, but still managed to reach 0.51 expected goals. He also offered one key pass in this time. This could indicate that it won’t take long for the Tottenham forward to return to the point scoring ways of last season.
The overall next five fixtures for Tottenham are mixed. They have Chelsea at home in Gameweek 5, but Watford and Crystal Palace in the next two matches as well as Arsenal and Aston Villa in Gameweeks 6 and 7.
The Hub Fixture Ticker ranks this only as the tenth best run of fixtures from an attacking point of view. With that said, they’re ranked sixth for predicted number of goals over the same period, which is a testament to Spurs’ attacking potency.
With Kane’s short-term future now firmly at Spurs, it’s unlikely the prolific Englishman will be a differential for long. He’s a proven FPL asset and we have a rare opportunity to buy him whilst he’s still under 10% owned.
Thanks for reading my article each and every week. I hope you have enjoyed and have had some success from these picks. I look forward to being back next season to continue the series – Feel free to message me any questions – Twitter – @FPLTIPZ
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