In this edition of Breaking the FPL Template, @Hibbo_FPL examines the FPL options of Brentford FC ahead of their much-discussed Gameweek 9 fixture swing.

This article will provide FPL tips to help managers break the template and achieve that desired top 10k finish.

You can catch all our other brilliant FPL Gameweek 9 tips right here.

The Data: Breaking The FPL Template Gameweek 9

A very direct, attacking and high energy Brentford side have relished the challenge of the Premier League.

Their attacking play revolves around the hold-up play of Ivan Toney (£6.4m) and his telepathic relationship with out-of-position strike partner Bryan Mbeumo (£5.5m).

In terms of attacking production, the Bees have held their own. They rank joint-ninth in the division for goals (10) and eighth for expected goals (11.3).

Brentford have demonstrated good shot economy. Despite a lack of volume, the vast majority of shots have come from close range. Thomas Frank’s side rank sixteenth for shots (90) but seventh for shots in the box (67).

They also rank joint-fifth best for clean sheets (3) and fifth-best for goals conceded (7).

The expected defensive data confirms that the Bees have not overperformed. Brentford rank second-best in the division for expected goals conceded (8.1). This only trails defensive juggernaut Manchester City.

Meanwhile, Brentford rank fourth-best for shots on target conceded (25), third for big chances conceded (10), and second for expected clean sheets (3.3).

To provide the necessary context, over this period Brentford faced four of last season’s top ten. This includes Liverpool, Chelsea, West Ham, and Arsenal.

The Fixtures: Breaking The FPL Template Gameweek 9

In terms of fixtures, Brentford rank third on Hub’s ticker over the next six. From an attacking perspective, the Bees will not be phased by immediate opponents Leicester City.

The Foxes have been dour defensively. They have registered just one clean sheet and conceded 14 goals in their opening eight matches.

In the following three Gameweeks, Brentford encounter a holy-trinity of favourable fixtures. These comprise of Burnley, Norwich, and Newcastle.

Burnley rank bottom in the division this term for shots conceded inside the box (87) and second-worst for goals (5).

Meanwhile, Norwich rank second-worst in the league defensively for big chances conceded (21), expected goals conceded (15.0), and goals conceded (16).

In terms of attacking output, the Canaries are the worst in the division for goals (2) and expected goals (7.4).

The manager-less Magpies rank worst in the league for big chances conceded (22), expected goals conceded (16.1), and goals conceded (19).

Newcastle’s wealthy new owners will be hopeful that the dismissal of Steve Bruce generates some much needed new manager bounce.

The Attack: Breaking The FPL Template Gameweek 9

Thomas Frank’s direct attack has caused issues for the Premier League’s best sides. It primarily revolves around the excellent Ivan Toney (£6.4m) and willing runner Bryan Mbuemo (£5.5m).

These two attackers represent excellent value FPL options in an exciting attack. They simply cannot be ignored ahead of a marvellous run of fixtures.

Toney ranks fifth amongst all forwards for shots (18). Yet he has struggled for accurate shot volume, finding the target on just six occasions.

Notably, Toney is joint second for headed goal attempts (5) ahead of fixtures against Leicester and Burnley who have struggled with the concession of headers.

He also ranks third amongst all forwards for expected goal involvement (4.9). His creative production offers Fantasy managers multiple avenues to points.

Impressively, Toney is top amongst all forwards for big chances created (5) while ranking second for expected assists (2.75).

Bryan Mbeumo (£5.5m) embodies Brentford owner Matthew Benham’s top-down laser focus on shot volumes and expected data whilst sometimes lacking accuracy.

The Frenchman betters his strike partner Toney for shots (19). However, he can lack composure as he has scored just twice despite a host of big chances (5).

Mbeumo’s out-of-position deployment is highly desirable from a Fantasy perspective. He also ranks joint eight amongst midfielders for touches in the box (37).

In terms of the dead ball, the Frenchman has also taken some corners (5) and free-kicks (4).

The Defensive Block: Breaking The FPL Template Gameweek 9

The combination of defensive effectiveness, and good fixtures, bodes well for Brentford’s defensive assets over the coming Gameweeks.

Ethan Pinnock (£4.6m) is first among his colleagues in this sample for shots (5). All of them have come from close proximity.

Pinnock has also displayed a creative streak, ranking top amongst his counterparts for expected assists (0.74). This is courtesy of five key passes.

On the other hand, Pontus Jansson (£4.7m) is ninth amongst all defenders this season for expected goals (0.96) but is yet to find the target.

Despite lacking the creativity of his defensive colleagues, David Raya (£4.6m) is still considered in some quarters as possibly the budget goalkeeper of choice.

The Spaniard has picked up a save point on four occasions this season but has accrued just one bonus point to date.

Conclusion

Ivan Toney (£6.4m) offers a combined threat of goals and assists. This makes him an automatic selection for me ahead of this hugely favourable run fixtures.

His role as designated penalty taker for the Bees is another valuable weapon is his armoury which should not be overlooked.

Bryan Mbuemo (£5.5m) gets my vote as the second Brentford selection. He has been extremely unlucky this season, hitting the woodwork a division-leading six times.

His out-of-position deployment, lively eye-test, and budget-friendly price tag makes him a great pick for our FPL squads.

David Raya (£4.6m) has impressed but he lacks the attacking upside of Ethan Pinnock (£4.6m) and Pontus Jansson (£4.7m). Both of these defenders can be benched during the tough fixtures.

For those with space in their squads, Pinnock would be my selection although personally, I prefer the reliability, and value, of the elite Manchester City and Chelsea defenders.

For those that have read, thank you. Keep an eye out for more articles throughout the season and drop me a follow on Twitter @Hibbo_FPL.

 

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