Premier League Fantasy Football Tips for Burnley by @CoysFPL.
In this team preview series, Dan previews all 20 Premier League teams ahead of the 2021/22 season. This includes season expectations, expected lineups, best player picks, under the radar gems, and players to avoid.
Find all our other Premier League 2021/22 Team Previews here which will be continually updated as the season draws closer!
Burnley 2020/21 Season Summary – Fantasy Football Tips
Burnley were never under real pressure of going down despite only finishing one spot above the bottom three.
They dropped off towards the end of the season, losing seven of their last nine matches.
The Clarets adopted a more attacking mind-set in those games. I don’t believe Sean Dyche will be naïve enough to continue this way due to the abysmal results.
In past seasons, it had been their home form which led to their success, with a series of clean sheets.
This was different last season though; eight of their eleven clean sheets came away from home. That will likely not continue with fans returning to stadiums.
Burnley 2021/22 Season Expectations – Fantasy Football Tips
Every season, Burnley’s main target is to beat the drop. It won’t change this season, and given Burnley’s real lack of investment this summer, I think this season will be their biggest challenge yet.
Luckily for them, not many sides around them have strengthened dramatically due to the financial impact of Covid-19.
Sean Dyche‘s team should have enough to avoid relegation once again. I wouldn’t write off anything though!
Ultimately, the quality of players is the most crucial factor contributing towards results rather than the manager.
Burnley Expected Lineup
Nick Pope is the stand-out goalkeeper when fit, but it is rumoured he could miss the first few weeks of the season. New signing Wayne Hennessey would therefore come in.
The back four will comprise of Matthew Lowton, Ben Mee, James Tarkowski and Charlie Taylor with little rotation.
Johan Berg Gudmundsson and Dwight McNeil will start in the wide positions, with the former only retaining his spot should Burnley fail to sign reinforcements on the wing.
Ashley Westwood will partner Josh Brownhill in the centre of the park.
Matej Vydra is likely to be Chris Wood’s strike partner after impressing at the back end of last season.
Burnley Best Players – Fantasy Football Tips
The Clarets’ talisman last season, Wood finished the Premier League season with 12 goals and three assists.
These tallies contributed towards 54% of Burnley’s goals across the whole campaign. Only Harry Kane and Matheus Pereira could boast a higher percentage for their respective teams.
Wood recorded the seventh highest xG tally per 90. Across the entire season, his xG was over three times more than his actual goal record.
If Burnley score, he’s likely to be involved. This is exacerbated by the fact he’ll get a larger share of penalties with Ashley Barnes set to spend more time on the sidelines.
It’s worth noting that Wood was part of the New Zealand Olympic squad. However, due to their relatively early elimination, he should be good to go for the start of the season.
On the other hand, Nick Pope is set to miss the first few games. Having said that, he is Burnley’s best defensive option when available.
The England international made the fifth most saves and kept the sixth most clean sheets per game in his position.
In FPL, Pope is primed for bonus points when Burnley keep a clean sheet due to the defenders’ lack of passes.
He had the second highest bonus points per game among goalkeepers, and the most in the Burnley squad.
Burnley Under the Radar Players – Fantasy Football Tips
Although the difference isn’t significant, Tarkowski is slightly more of a set-piece threat than Ben Mee.
He only managed a single goal last season, compared to five goals and five assists in the previous two seasons.
However, Tarkowski registered 0.17 big chances and 0.09 xG per 90 minutes in the most recent campaign.
Judging by those statistics, the Englishman should have scored three times more than he did.
Those underlying numbers were the best among Burnley defenders. The big chance record was third out of all defenders in the league who played 2000 minutes or more.
The Czech-Republic international broke into the line-up towards the end of last season. He ended the campaign with three goals and two assists, all of which came in his last nine starts.
For games in which Vydra started, he had the second most shots in the box (1.67). He also accumulated the second most big chances (0.53) and had the joint highest expected assist record (0.15) within the Burnley ranks.
Vydra was also involved in exactly a third of Burnley’s goals in the games he started, which is a respectable amount for a budget forward.
A cheaper alternative to Tarkowski. He finished with a single goal and assist, but created the fourth most big chances per game in the Burnley squad (0.21 – only 0.05 less than the highest).
Lowton also amassed an expected assist total four times greater than his total assists.
Dyche has experimented with different ways of attacking the opposition. One of the more prominent tactics over the last year was bringing the full-backs further up the pitch which makes Lowton an intriguing option.
Burnley Players to Avoid – Fantasy Football Tips
Despite Dwight McNeil and Ashley Westwood scoring five and assisting nine between them, I don’t see them as genuine options.
I think there are far better picks in their respective price ranges. It’s also worth taking into account that most of their goal contributions came from set-pieces.
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