Euro 2020 Fantasy Football Tips – Quarter Finals Preview

Bakar Siddiq shares his statistical rundown on the players to pick and avoid as we head into the Euro 2020 Fantasy Quarter Finals.

Find all our other Euro 2020 Fantasy Football content here which includes how to play guides, further team previews, team reveals and more!

Switzerland v Spain

Spain arrive into this game topping every underlying attacking statistic I have studied. They are ranked first in terms of big chances, expected goals (xG) and expected goals from open play by some distance. 

To put things into context, Spain have accumulated 22 big chances in total.  The next best are Netherlands with 17 and France with 12. This tells me that tripling up on the most probable Spanish front three is likely to be a profitable strategy. These include Pablo Sarabia, Ferran Torres and Alvaro Morata.

Sarabia is averaging more than one big chance involvement per game in the tournament. Meanwhile, Torres alone registered three big chance involvements in the game against Croatia.

Euro Fantasy Spain

Spain’s midfield and attack offer great value but their defence remains vulnerable.

Morata is top among all players in the tournament for big chances and shots in the box. However, his finishing, as has been the case often in the past, has let him down. His goal against Croatia should provide him with some much-needed confidence to kick on though.

Defensively, Spain have been dodgy throughout the tournament conceding the highest number of big chances of all the teams to have qualified for the quarter finals.

Remarkably, 75% of the shots in the box they have conceded have come in the form of big chances. Nevertheless, they are still backed by the bookmakers as having the second best clean sheet odds of all teams this week.

Belgium v Italy

This is the game to avoid in this Matchday as far as Euro Fantasy is concerned. I don’t think there will be big points scored here, so I believe Fantasy managers should stick with the Italian contingent they already have.

Italy will likely keep it tight, so a clean sheet is possible – particularly in the potential absence of Kevin De Bruyne.

Federico Chiesa’s match winning cameo against Austria is likely to lead to the exclusion of Euro Fantasy favorite Domenico Berardi. I’d keep Berardi given the bigger fires that Euro Fantasy managers have to prioritise.

Yet I’m all for the idea to take a couple of hits this Matchday, especially if it helps you cover for a potential absentee in your 11 or someone like Berardi who is likely to get a one pointer.

Euro Fantasy Italy

Italy versus Belgium is the toughest game to call so adding their assets is a huge risk.

Czech Republic v Denmark

This is the game to pick differentials from depending on which team you are backing. I believe Denmark will get another win – they have conceded the least number of shots in the box and a minimal number of big chances so should be good for a clean sheet here.

Joakim Maehle is averaging over six penalty area touches per game and being the monster he is, picks himself.

Denmark is underrated going forward too, only Italy have created more chances than them in this tournament.

It’s difficult to pick an obvious talisman in the absence of Christian Eriksen though. Mikkel Damsgaard is prone to being substituted off early while the goals are usually spread around.

I wouldn’t go overboard with this fixture because the potential winner is likely to face England in the next round.

Euro Fantasy Denmark

Denmark have great differentials in Matchday 5 but I wouldn’t overcommit.

Ukraine v England

According to the odds, this is the fixture to target this week. England are heavily backed to make the finals of the Euros given how the draw has panned out.

In this Matchday alone, England are ranked as the team most likely to keep a clean sheet or to score three or more goals in a game. England’s attacking numbers haven’t been great so far but it still makes sense to back two of their most nailed attackers this week.

Harry Kane is the most likely player to score a goal or a hattrick this Matchday according to the bookies odds. Raheem Sterling is top among all England players for xG this tournament so is worth backing to continue his fine form.

Euro 2020 Fantasy Wildcard Guide – Matchday 5

Jack Grealish is a great option if he starts but unfortunately, we are unlikely to receive any confirmation regarding this before the deadline so it’s best to avoid him.

Defensively, Jordan Pickford and John Stones would be my ideal picks – Harry Maguire is nailed too but he is just one yellow away from suspension in the next Matchday.

Other Euros Content

Find all our other Euro 2020 Fantasy Football content here which includes how to play guides, further team previews, team reveals and more!

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