Fantasy Premier League tips each Gameweek from 4-time top 1k finisher Abdul Rehman. Abdul uses the Hub prediction and fixture tools to share the top five best FPL players for Gameweek 2.
The first Gameweek of the season is out of the way and it was jubilation for those who had Mohamed Salah as captain (who was also highlighted in my ‘’Best Gameweek One Team’’ (which scored 91 points) article and also my Team Reveal). Scoring an opening day hattrick, his owners could not have asked for anything more. Our Points Prediction Tool also had him top for anytime returns. Moving on to the most popular picks for Gameweek 2 we will this time look at the top five players who I expect to score well this week. Just as a disclaimer these are not in any sort of chronological order but simply the best five players for Gameweek 2.
Lucas Digne (£6.0m) – Everton
Fixture: West Brom (H)
Lucas Digne was another player who was touted in our pre-season guide – ‘’Best Premium Defenders’’ article. He ranked second for most chances created last season and finished with eight assist and nine clean sheets. He clearly has a big assist threat and showed his quality with a pin-point cross from a free-kick which saw Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.0m) head home. Everton face West Brom at Goodison Park which will probably be one of their easiest games (on paper) all season. The Baggies conceded three goals to Leicester City at home in Gameweek 1 and even more worrying for them is they conceded the most Big Chances (4), and second most Shots in the Box (11) from all teams in the first Gameweek.
Not only is this a prime fixture for the Everton attack but defence also. West Brom also come out bottom on the other side of the metrics – they only had one Shot on Target against the Foxes which again was the worst from all teams in Gameweek 1 and they only managed three Shots in the Box which was only worsened by Fulham (1). If you needed another reason why Digne is one of the best picks for Gameweek 2 – he also comes out top in our Points Prediction Tool for most expected points (4.5) and also top by quite a margin for expected assist (0.29) out of all defenders for this week.
Pierre-Emerick Aubemeyang (£12.0m) – Arsenal
Fixture: West Ham United (H)
The Arsenal talisman will no doubt be the most captained player in Gameweek 2. He looked a threat against Fulham and was unlucky not to score a brace, with a headed clearance off the line. He had three Shots on Target, and Shots in the Box and despite getting a yellow card still managed to score a respectable seven points due to him now being a midfielder. Arsenal play West Ham United at home who were convincingly beaten 2-0 by Newcastle United in Gameweek 1.
They conceded 15 shots on goal (3rd worst) and 10 Shots in the Box (3rd worst). The Hammers had chances of their own to score but defensively were out of sorts and to concede those types of numbers against Newcastle at home is inexcusable. With 13 of Aubameyang’s goals last season coming at home it would take a brave man to bet against him this Gameweek. He comes out top in our Prediction Tool for expected points (6.4) in Gameweek 2 and second for anytime goalscorer (47%). He looks a no brainer for the captain armband this week.
Marcus Rashford (£9.5m) – Manchester United
Fixture: Crystal Palace (H)
Now feasibly I could have picked Fernandes (£10.5m) or Anthony Martial (£9.0m) with justification for my third pick. However, I feel that Rashford offers the best value and is also the superior option out of the three. The main reasons being his reclassification to midfield and also the fact he is £1.0m cheaper than Fernandes. With him being a forward he is going to score more goals than the Portuguese despite him being on penalties. Also, I don’t see Manchester United getting anywhere near the ratio of penalties they got last season.
Marcus’s tally last term of 17 goals and 10 assists are elite-level numbers for an FPL asset and with 12 of those goals coming at home he clearly likes playing at Old Trafford. If we compare the four main United attackers via our OPTA Stats for last season we can clearly see the England forwards stats come out on top. Due to Fernandes only playing 14 games I have filtered on ‘per appearances’ to make the comparison fair. We can see per game Rashford has the most Shots on Target (1.42), Shots in the Box (1.81), Big Chances (0.94), and xG (0.60).
With a home game against Crystal Palace in their first fixture, I think he will be the likely one to score most points unless they get a penalty of course!
Richarlison (£8.0m) – Everton
Fixture: West Brom (H)
Another Everton player and as I explained earlier the Toffees have one of the most winnable games they will have all season. From my Digne pick, I explained West Bromwich Albion’s frailties both offensively and defensively. Richarlison really should have scored against Spurs when he rounded Hugo Lloris (£5.5m) but failed to hit the target and he had another clear cut header which really should have nestled into the back of the net too. On another day he would have had a brace and we would all be scrambling to get him into our teams. What we have to remember is FPL is about getting next week’s points, not last week’s. The Brazilian forward had a very lively game with seven Shots (2nd), five Shots in the Box (2nd), and two Big Chances (1st). Bearing in mind this was against a Jose Mourinho Spurs side away from home. It wasn’t only Richarlison who was impressive but Everton as a unit look a different side this season with Carlo Ancelotti at the helm and his new signings James Rodriguez (£7.5m), Allan (£5.5m), and Abdoulaye Doucouré (£5.5m) dictating the midfield. No doubt they will supply both the Everton forwards with plenty of chances this season to score more goals. It may have been Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.0m) who came away with the most points but the stats tell a different story.
Richarlison vs Dominic Calvert-Lewin:
The Brazilian international had a higher xG (0.83 to 0.32), xPts (7.19 to 4.44), more Shots in the Box (5 to 2), and more Touches in the Box (9 to 2) to name only a few.
Jamie Vardy (£10.0m) – Leicester City
Fixture: Burnley (H)
My final pick is last season’s golden boot winner. With a home game against Burnley, it was hard not to pick him. Now even though he scored a brace against West Brom in Gameweek 1, we all know both his goals were penalties. What you will probably know as well is that he didn’t have a single outfield shot on goal the in the whole game and had a NPxG (Non-penalty expected goal) of 0. Of course, this won’t fill Vardy owners with confidence or you the readers in my picking abilities but let’s be honest he is a proven goal machine and will get plenty of chances throughout the season. 98 goals, and 51 assists in his last five seasons is all we need to know and with him coming in at 46% (3rd highest) to score anytime according to the Points Prediction Tool, the last games anomaly is unlikely to stop him. If we take a bigger sample size and looks at last seasons stats he had the most Big Chances (36) out of any player in the league and was top six for Shots on Target (43) and Shots in the Box (80) and he actually created the second most Big Chances (12) out of all the strikers.