Fantasy Premier League tips each Gameweek from 4-time top 1k finisher Abdul Rehman. Abdul uses the Hub’s OPTA, Prediction, Comparison and Fixture tools to find the best FPL players and top tips for Gameweek 5.
Check out our Ultimate Guide to FPL Gameweek 5 for all the key information, stats and tips you need going into the weekend’s action.
I feel like a broken record saying this, but yet again we had another extraordinary Gameweek and probably one of the most bizarre ever, in terms of score lines. A total of 41 goals scored with Manchester City being held to a draw by Leeds United (or the other way around), Spurs putting six past Manchester United at Old Trafford, and Aston Villa thumping the current champions by seven goals to two. A few other highlights were Son Heung-Min (£9.0m) ‘miraculously’ recovering from his hamstring injury to score a brace and an assist after over one million managers got rid of him and the ever-reliable Mohamed Salah (£12.2m) scoring a brace in their defeat showed why he is the most reliable asset in this game.
It was a good time for the international break to arrive I feel and it’s a good time to take stock and analyse which players have shown their worth in the first four weeks. Let’s have a look at the best players for Gameweek 5. As usual, I will pick two players from each outfield position.
Having a quick glance at Gameweek 5 fixtures I think it looks a lot trickier than it seems. On paper Leicester City, Chelsea, Sheffield United and Spurs have good fixtures but Aston Villa and West Ham have been in form and Sheffield United have only scored one goal so far this season. Also with the international break, some players will be arriving back quite late and fitness and training times is something we will need to keep an eye on also.
Stuart Dallas (£4.5m) – Leeds United
Fixture: Wolves (H)
Leeds United have been a breath of fresh this season with their style of play and entertaining matches. Their two full-backs Luke Ayling (£4.5m) and Stuart Dallas (£4.5m) were much talked about preseason due to their attacking stats and the fact that Leeds were one of the best defensive sides to ever get promoted to the Premier League. Although their clean sheets haven’t come to full fruition yet the full-backs have been performing as expected. In the first four games, I have noticed that Dallas does seem to carry the superior goal threat and Ayling the better assist threat. In the first four games, Dallas has the most Shots (4), Shots on Target (4), Big Chances (2), and xG (1.21) from all defenders in the league. He has on occasion this season switched position to midfield which is a factor in having such a high goal threat.
Looking at the Leeds United defence as a whole so far though they haven’t been as solid as most expected. They have actually conceded the most Shots (79) and Shots in the Box (49) and have an xGC (expected goals conceded) of 7.51 which is 5th worst just behind Fulham. However, we have to bare in mind that they have played both Liverpool and Manchester City in their first four games so these stats need be taken in context. I think they will tighten up and pick up more clean sheets with their better fixtures and attacking wise they have been very impressive despite playing Man City and Liverpool as stated. They have had 26 Shots on Target (3rd), 32 Shots in the Box (6th), and an xG of 7.24 (6th). With Dallas, I feel in Gameweek 5 he has a good chance of both attacking and defensive returns. Wolves have been a bit goal shy this season, having only scored four goals (17th), with 12 Shots on Target (16th) so I think this is a game where he can finally get the haul he has been threatening all season.
Ben Chilwell (£5.6m) – Chelsea
The new Chelsea recruit had a dream debut grabbing a goal, assist, and a clean sheet which resulted in a monster 18 point haul. He was very attacking and seemed to be on corners too. With two shots on goal and three chances created in Gameweek 4 alone, he is clearly primed for more attacking returns. He also had the most crosses (11) and most successful crosses (5) last Gameweek again showing his assist threat. Chelsea picked up their first clean sheet last week, and it was no coincidence with Edouard Mendy (£5.0m), César Azpilcueta (£5.9m), Thiago Silva (£5.5m), and Chilwell all starting together for the first time this season. The Blues have had a very mixed start with two wins, a draw, and a loss and this can be put down to a number of their first-team players not available. With the defence seemingly back in action, they now await the return of Christian Pulisic (£8.3m) and Hakim Ziyech (£7.9m) who should both be back after the international break.
They face Southampton in Gameweek 5 who got off to a poor start losing their first two games but have managed to win their last two without conceding. It has to be said though their fixtures were quite favourable in Burnley (a) and West Brom (H) and I think a full-strength Chelsea side will be too tough a task for them. As with Dallas, I feel the Chelsea left-back has chances of scoring points at both ends of the pitch.
Heung-Min Son (£9.0m) – Spurs
Fixture: West Ham United (H)
The South Korean has been an absolute powerhouse this season scoring six goals and one assist accumulating 45 points in his first four games and he currently sits as the highest-scoring player in the game. Four goals in his Gameweek 2 fixture with Southampton was totally unexpected and his haul last Gameweek was too, especially to the 1m+ managers who got rid of him ahead of the Manchester United fixture only to see him miraculously recover from his hamstring ‘injury’ to net another huge haul. He is simply too hot to ignore right now and with a home tie against West Ham next he has to be a top contender for the captains armband. He has been absolutely clinical this season; his six goals have come from seven Shots on Target, six Big Chances and an xG of 2.96. Of course, this sort of conversion rate is unsustainable but historically his stats show he is an elite finisher and he will make a mockery of his £9.0m price tag if he manages to stay fit.
Saying that, Spurs fixture against the Hammers at home is not as straight forward as it seems. It’s a case of an unstoppable force meeting an immovable object as Spurs have had the most Big Chances in the league (17) this season, whereas West Ham have conceded the least Big Chances (4). This is shaping up to be a very interesting match-up which can go either way. The Hammers have been on a fine run of form themselves with recent drubbings of Wolves at home (4-0) and Leicester City away (3-0). I think this will be a high scoring derby and Son is sure to be among the goals again.
Kevin De Bruyne (£11.6m) – Manchester City
Fixture: Arsenal (H)
Manchester City have had a bit of a mixed start this season. In their first three games they have won, drawn and lost one game each. The most surprising of these was their 5-2 hammering at the hands of Leicester City in their own back yard. It was a game where the Belgian was heavily captained and ended up with a miserly two points. However, no matter how bad Man City are playing they are always capable of turning it on against any team and providing a right thumping here and there. Going without their main attacking players, in the long run, is likely to bite you and their best player, playmaker, and penalty taker is always going to be a good shout, especially at home. Even though he has played a game less than most (due to their Gameweek 1 blank) he has still created the most chances (14) out of any player in the league. He is also a substantial goal threat too with 11 Shots, four Shots on Target, five Shots in the Box and two Big Chances.
He comes up against an Arsenal side who boast quite an impressive defensive record on paper with only 21 Shots in the Box Conceded (2nd), and only five goals conceded (3rd). However, their fixtures have been quite favourable playing Fulham (a), West Ham (H), and Sheffield United (H) in their first four. They were beaten quite comfortably, 3-1 by Liverpool in Gameweek 3 and I expect more of the same here. I don’t see the Gunners’ defence being able to keep De Bruyne and co at bay and I see this as a very favourable fixture for the Belgian maestro.
Harry Kane (£10.6m) – Spurs
Fixture: West Ham United (H)
The Spurs and England striker has been on great form lately and it looks as if ‘the old’ Harry Kane is back judging by his underlying number and his output. He sits as the second-highest scorer in the game so far (44 points) just one point behind his teammate Son. He seems to have added another dimension to his game by becoming a playmaker as well as a goalscorer, with three goals and six assists so far. Just to put that into context he only managed two assists in the whole of last season and a total of eight assists in his last two seasons combined. He currently sits top for, Shots (19), Shots on Target (10), and second for Shots in the Box (15). Even more impressively, he has created 11 Big Chances (4th) and has the highest xA (3.20) and Big Chances Created (6) out of all players in the league. He is the only striker in the league in the top 19 players for Chances Created.
As I stated earlier, West Ham isn’t exactly an easy fixture but with his form and underlying stats just like his teammate, he is too good to ignore just now. With him being nailed, on penalties, and with his added assist threat he will be another top contender for the captains armband.
Michael Antonio (£6.3m) – West Ham United
Fixture: Spurs (a)
Michael Antonio has been strangely going under the radar so far. Despite scoring two goals in his first four games he has dropped in price twice and now sits at a very generous £6.3m. A few reasons for his price drop will of course be the form of other strikers in his price range such as Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.6m), Neal Maupay (£6.6m), and Calum Wilson (£6.4m) to name a few allied with some tough fixtures. Despite his difficult run of games though he has still managed to score against both Arsenal (a) and Leicester City (a) and been putting up very good attacking numbers. He has had 15 Shots (3rd), 8 Shots on Target (3rd), and 12 Shots on Target (4th). This is all despite playing Arsenal, Leicester, and Wolves. He has been unfortunate not to score more and with underlying stats as good as the premium options he is a player I can’t wait to bring into my team.
Also, West Ham as a team have been on form lately too as I stated earlier, putting both Wolves and The Foxes to the sword. They have scored seven goals in their last two games whilst keeping clean sheets in both. The Hammers have had 58 Shots (3rd), 19 Shots in the Box (3rd) and nine Big Chances (5th). With both teams on form and with so many of both teams players on form too, add in the fact how high scoring and erratic this season has been I can see Antonio scoring big. His form, underlying numbers, and the fact West Ham are playing the best I have seen all point towards him scoring points in this fixture and for the foreseeable future.
Good luck for Gameweek 5!