This is the first in a brand new series that will be taking a brief snapshot of our five top picks based on these four FPL fundamentals:
Often the common denominator and what everyone seems to go on. Its important, but not the whole story.
Lets face it, FPL picks aren’t for the 1 week. If you’re bringing someone in, you should be looking toward at least the next 4 gameweeks. Often the precursor to form, frisking the fixtures allows you to get the jump on the top picks in before your rivals.
The most important concept to get your head around for FPL. We have a budget and every million counts.
4. Underlying stats
What people often forget is that last weeks points are gone. Its a players future points potential that matters most and underlying stats are a crucial component to gauging this.
Tip no.1 – The must have – Salah
Form – Salah has been in blistering form from the off for Klopp. Having notched a brace against the Hammers last time out, he certainly has the form.
Fixtures – Apart from a home tie against Chelsea next weekend, Liverpool’s fixtures could not be much kinder in the run up to Christmas.
Value – Effectively playing striker for a top 6 club, Salah is well priced at 9.4 and set to rise in value over the next few weeks.
Underlying stats – The Egyptian has racked up 13 goal attempts over the last 4 gameweeks, that’s 2nd amongst midfielders (only behind Richarlison).
Tip no.2 – Top Defender – Daniels
Form – Not brilliant. However, Bournemouth may just have turned a corner and Daniels did pick up a clean sheet last time out against Newcastle.
Fixtures – Couldn’t be much better. Bournemouth square up to Huddersfield, Swansea, Burnley, Southampton and Crystal Palace in the next 5.
Value – Dropped to a very kind 4.8 and offers potential returns at both end of the pitch having notched an assist and a goal already this campaign.
Underlying stats – For defenders under 5.0m, Daniels is 2nd for shots (behind Dann) and 2nd for chances created (behind Cedric) over the last 4 gameweeks.
Players that just missed the cut: Lots of good shouts around this price range with Mee and Dann also scoring highly in the four fundamentals.
Tip no.3 – Top Midfielder – Richarlison
Form – having racked up attacking retuns in four out of the last five outings, its safe to say that the young Brazilian has found his feet in the Premier League.
Fixtures – A slightly mixed bag over the coming weeks. Watford have two plum ties followed by visits of Manchester United and Tottenham. Fixtures ease up again moving into the busy festive schedule.
Value – Coming in at 6.4, Richarlison offers outstanding value.
Underlying stats – In short, his underlying stats are quite extraordinary. Racking up the most shots for any player over the last four gameweeks. He’s been a tad unlucky (or wasteful) not to have netted even more FPL points.
Player that just missed the cut: Despite their abysmal start, Palace and in particular Zaha look to be shrewd investments over the next couple of months.
Tip no.4 – Top Forward -Abraham
Form – The Chelsea loanee is pretty much single handedly keeping Swansea afloat. Although not delivering heavy scores in the last few matches, at 4.4 points per match, he’s been a steady source of points so far this season.
Fixtures – The Swans do play Chelsea and City in the next 8 weeks, but otherwise its fairly kind fixture list for the Welsh outfit.
Value – Coming in at just 5.9 Abraham is top ranked forward for Value so far this season (no-one else comes close). This reason alone makes the young Englishman a canny investment.
Underlying stats – In short, very impressive. 11 shots in the box, that’s top amongst forwards over the last four gameweeks, knocking Kane (10 shots) into 2nd place.
Player that just missed the cut: Murrey is a surprising option in the budget forward category. Age isn’t on his side, but he does score well in the four fundamentals.
Tip no.5 – The Punt – Ramsey
Form – The Welsh winger has been stealthily racking up the points in recent outings with an average of 9ppg over the last 3 gameweeks.
Fixtures – Next up is the north London derby, which could be goals galore. After that, Arsenal’s schedule clears up nicely in the run up to Christmas.
Value – at 7.0 Ramsey looks a steal and is outperforming team mate Sanchez and costs 4.8m less. That’s the difference between Salah and Tom Carroll.
Underlying stats – He’s got the numbers to back it up as well. Coming in the top 5 for shots inside the box and shots on target over the last 5 matches. Tidy.
Like the new series?
If you like this piece, let me know in the comments. If I get a good response, I’m hopefully going to be making it a regular series.
At the moment, the graphs are just my opinion, but I’m looking to back this up with some analysis in future.
Join our FPL Facebook group
We have recently launched a new Facebook group for FPL that can be found here. Lots of good discussion, so be sure to check it out.
How to win at FPL Guide
Here’s a members guide I wrote on how to win at FPL. It gives all my top tips to on how to… well.. win at FPL 🙂