In this article, BigManBakar will run you through the three best FPL differentials for Gameweek 13 & 14 to help you gain an advantage over your mini-league rivals.

The numbers I have taken for this article are all from the OPTA Stats tool at Fantasy Football Hub.

 

FPL Best Differentials for Gameweek 13:

1) Marcos Alonso (Fixture: MUN (H), Price: £5.6m, Ownership: 7.9%)

Chilwell's injury gives Alonso the opportunity to cement his place in the side over a long-run.

He wasn't brought on for Chilwell in the Champions League but Thomas Tuchel cleared the air on why Alonso wasn’t brought on:

“Yeah, it’s my fault. Hopefully Marcos doesn’t take this personally. I wanted Azpi on the field. Every game we have the conversation, does he play or not. He’s been so unlucky since a pain in his shoulder. We said we were bringing him on for Reece James then we had to bring him on the left and somebody said it was Marcos so I am sorry to him.”

It seems as if he didn’t give much thought to the fact that Alonso was the like-for-like replacement for Chilwell as Azpilicueta was all set to come on.

Alonso has been a favourite for Fantasy managers over the years and has more often than not been FPL gold whenever he finds himself playing in the wing-back position.

His numbers, even this season, have been impressive. Out of defenders who have had at least four starts or more, only Alexander Arnold, Cancelo, James and Chilwell have registered a better expected goal involvement per start this season.

The Spaniard has three goals and two assists in a total of 14 league starts under Tuchel, averaging an attacking return almost once every three games so the attacking pedigree is there for all to see.

What I love about these attacking defenders though is that you always have the security of clean sheets to fall back on should they fail to deliver any attacking returns.

Chelsea are third for expected goals conceded this season and their defensive numbers are on the rise.

More clean sheets should follow and Alonso, given Chilwell's injury, looks set to be in the points in the weeks to come.

 

2) Bernardo Silva (Fixture: WHM (H), Price: £7.2m, Ownership: 9.6%)

Bernardo Silva (£7.2m) is a good option in isolation. He’s second only to Cancelo for FPL points this season and seems to have gone under the radar.

Since he started playing in Gameweek 2, he is ranked fourth among midfielders for big chances and sixth for expected goal involvement (xGi).

He has started all barring one of Man City's league games and has been their best player this season. Bernardo has simply gained un-droppable status at the moment.

The Portuguese playmaker may not appear to be as flashy to the eye as some of the other FPL bandwagons, but seems to get the job done.

If you're playing regularly in a Man City team who are ranked second in the league for xG this season, you're bound to get chances. Bernardo is making merry of the opportunities that he is getting.

 

3) Christian Benteke (Fixture: AVL (H), Price: £6.4m, Ownership: 2.5%)

Big chances among forwards (Last four Gameweeks)

King/Benteke: 7

Aubameyang: 4

Jiménez: 3

Toney/Vardy/Ronaldo: 2

As you can see, the numbers that the forwards have been putting up in recent times are uninspiring.

Christian Benteke (£6.4m) and Joshua King (£5.6m) are the names who stand out. It’s worth noting that during this spell of four Gameweeks, Palace and Watford are ranked fifth and fourth for xG respectively.

There’s a feel good-factor around Palace at the moment. Only Salah has more goals than Benteke in the last five and by his own admission:

“As you can see, it’s going fantastically for the club in a short space of time. The way we are playing is nice to watch. We are creating more chances, so for me as a striker, it is a pleasure to be up front.”

He’s not completely nailed as Patrick Vieira likes to tinker with his forwards. Yet he should start at home to Aston Villa and Leeds in midweek given the form that he is in.

Chances are that new owners might be rewarded immediately. Palace have been averaging 2.5 big chances per home game this season.

The bookmakers agree and they have given Benteke a healthy 36% chance of scoring this week.

 

Best Differentials for Gameweek 14:

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