Gameweek 37 Captain Recap

This was an absolute contrast to Gameweek 36 with many struggling to clear 40 points.  I had a mixed week, after deliberating between PVA, TAA, Shaw and Digne I went for PVA (-4) for him to reward me with a non-appearance!  Buyers remorse would be an understatement.  On the flipside, I went with Hazard as a Captain differential and that pretty much saved my week.

Who did I tip?

  • Aguero (2) – he was the poll winner and the “safest” option, but I did suggest caution with regards to City, as they looked to be more focused on game management than blowing teams away with so much riding on each game. He was the most threatening player for City though.
  • Jimenez (2)– Wolves secured EL qualification with this win, but it was quite a cagey affair with Fulham dominating possession and Wolves playing on the counter.  Currently, Jota looks the more threatening of the Wolves duo.
  • Sterling (3) – he wasn’t really involved much in this game and it was a very tense affair.
  • Hazard (11) – I identified Watford as being relatively leaky, combined that with Hazard’s impressive home form, him automatically getting bonus points whenever he gets any return and concluded that he was the best Captain for me. It’s just a shame that they eased up in the second half, as a goal would have been the icing on the cake.
  • Salah (7) – his form continues to impress, but again he didn’t pick up any bonus. He should be okay for the game next week but Wolves will not be easy.

 

What did we learn?

  • Everton are closing out the season in style – only Liverpool, City and Chelsea have more clean sheets than Everton now. In Lucas Digne they have the new Leighton Baines (albeit without pens).  He’s got so much attacking threat, clean sheet potential and racks up the bonus points.
  • The league is pretty much set – with the exception of the title. Third and fourth have been secured.  Wolves have the EL place and relegation has been formalised.  This pretty much means that most of the teams have nothing to play for, which could lead to some interesting final day results.
  • The wheels have come off the United bus – to only draw with Huddersfield signifies just how far they have fallen since Ole was appointed as permanent manager. I can see him ringing in some changes for the last game of the season to express how he feels about certain players and to show that he wants to give good young players a chance.

  

Gameweek 38 Captain Decision 

With one week to go there’s not really enough time to make up a lot of ground at this stage (I’d say 20-30 points is the max you can hope to make up per Gameweek, so if someone is 30+ ahead of you it’s pretty much over barring a miracle) and your FPL Gameweek 38 Captaincy decision is the best chances to do that.  Point hits are not recommended unless it can be done to engineer something spectacular and you combine that with making them your Captain.

Liverpool and City will be going all in on their final games of the season and I expect both to win.  Spurs are decimated and with Son being suspended I can see them ending their season in the most Spursy way.  Chelsea / Arsenal play in the EL on Thursday and despite rotation, might be a bit fatigued at the weekend.  United are in terrible form, but host a relegated Cardiff at Home.

Wolves have won the mid-table battle, with Everton and Leicester also finishing the season very strong.  Watford appear to have dropped off with the FA Cup Final on the horizon.

At the bottom Huddersfield are dead and buried, so are Fulham but they’re performing well and Cardiff now join them.  Brighton look to be one of the worst teams to have survived in recent history and now safety is guaranteed they could be in for a serious pummelling from City.

Neither of Burnley, Bournemouth, Newcastle, Palace, Southampton and West Ham look to be fully on the beach yet, the final Gameweek could produce some interesting results.

 

Fixtures

Initial Thoughts?

  • Brighton v Man City – Brighton are lucky to still be in the league next season, they’re safe from relegation so don’t need to park the bus here.  The handbrake will be off for City and I expect them to demolish Brighton, although if it takes a while to breach the gates it could turn into another game management exercise.
  • Burnley v Arsenal – Arsenal are terrible away and have prioritised the Europa League so their main squad will be fatigued. I expect them to struggle here and wouldn’t be surprised to see a Burnley win.    
  • Crystal Palace v Bournemouth – this should be a good open game, Palace are on great form at the moment and Bournemouth are capable of doing some damage.
  • Fulham v Newcastle – the last game in the Premier League against a vibrant Newcastle side in what could be Rafa’s last game for them. I think this will be quite an open game as well. Form wise, I really like the look of Perez and have a soft spot for him after what he did for me at the end of last season.
  • Leicester v Chelsea – similar to Emery, Sarri has prioritised the EL and his main squad will be fatigued after playing on Thursday. However, they have secured their CL place already and this will be like an exhibition game.  Leicester look very good as a unit now and there should be some goals.
  • Liverpool v Wolves – Liverpool are amazing at home and the atmosphere will be immense, as the fans desperately want the league title and they’ll still be pumped after the amazing Champions League comeback. Some of the squad players might be trying to stake a claim for a Champions League final place.  Wolves are kryptonite for the top six, but I suspect that even they will struggle to stand in Liverpool's way.
  • Man United v Cardiff – on paper this should be an easy Home game with Cardiff already relegated but, after watching the dire performance against Huddersfield, I wouldn’t be surprised if Cardiff go down with a swansong by beating them.
  • Southampton v Huddersfield – although Southampton have looked a lot better recently, their recent results are rather mixed. Despite that, I expect them to end the season in style and this should be a comfortable win.  The hard part will be selecting the right asset that hauls.
  • Spurs v Everton – despite the Home advantage, Spurs don’t tend to perform well after CL games and without Kane / Son they lack the cutting edge up top. Everton are on fire, but I still think this will be a tight game.
  • Watford v West Ham – the Watford players will be auditioning for their Cup Final place after a rather inconsistent run recently. West Ham have recaptured some form recently and this should be a good open game.

 

Twitter Captaincy Poll For Gameweek 38

 

Old Hunting Ground – do any of these picks have a good history vs their opposition?

Although a tiny sample, Salah looks promising against Wolves.  So does Pogba with a far easier fixture, but unlike Liverpool and Salah him and Utd do not look to be on form.  Aguero and Sterling also look to be decent options, especially now that Brighton are secure in the league but it’s unclear how City will approach this game, as they have been very conservative recently.

 

Members Only

All stats are from OPTA and are based on the last four Home or Away games dependant on where the next fixture is.

 

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