Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 37 captain article covering fixtures, poll results, previous records, player stats, team stats and conclusion.

FPL Gameweek 36 Recap

This was quite a pivotal week, if you had a few Liverpool players you generally did okay, otherwise you would pretty much have been blown away.  I captained Mane, had Robertson and achieved a decent 87 points but that wasn’t enough to get a green arrow!

Who did I tip?

  • Mane (13) – a great score, but it could have been so much better if he had put the last header away, as that would have give him another five plus three bonus, which was an eight point swing. He was the Liverpool player with the best Home stats and he always looked threatening.  It’s getting quite interesting between him and Salah though, as they’re both focused on scoring for themselves rather than passing to someone in a better position, which could be to the detriment of the team at some point.
  • Salah (19)– he looks to be well and truly back and has massively rewarded anyone that managed to fit him into their team.
  • Son (2) / Eriksen (2) – I was flirting with picking Son as a differential for the hour before the deadline, but it just felt too punty and I’m relieved I didn’t go through with it. James called it right on the @PlanetFPL podcast, this was a tense affair and West Ham stepped up their game.  It also made me think twice about having players from teams with one eye on Europe.
  • Aguero (9) / Sterling (3) – Aguero continued his fine record against Burnley in what was a very cagey game. The stats indicated that Burnley wouldn’t concede many chances and that was definitely the case.  I also noticed a change in City’s style / game management.  Earlier in the season they would relentlessly go at teams, but now with so much at stake once they have a lead in the later stages of the game they will focus on holding it, so I wouldn’t expect the same kind of demolition that we’ve become accustomed to until possibly the final game once the title is secured.
  • Vardy (13) – I expected him to score and get at least 7 points, but again I underestimated him and he came away with another brace plus bonus points. I know a lot of people were considering a switch with the injured Firmino and kudos for anyone that kept him.
  • TAA (10) / Robertson (14) – I highlighted these as a potential punt given that they were pretty much starting the game with 6 points due to how unlikely it was that Huddersfield would score, they both showed how good their assist potential is and came away with another double figure haul.

 

What did we learn?

  • Huddersfield are there for the taking – target them in the last two fixtures.
  • Top Four Nerves – with European distraction or general lack of form, all four of the contenders are very unpredictable at the moment and aren’t on form.
  • Vardy’s having a party – he’s been loving life since Rodgers took over, but could that be coming to an end when they play City on Monday? Wilson also appears to be trying to put himself in the shop window.

 

FPL Gameweek 37 Captain

With two weeks to go there’s not really enough time to make up a lot of ground at this stage (I’d say 20-30 points is the max you can hope to make up per Gameweek, so if someone is 50+ ahead of you it’s pretty much over barring a miracle) and your FPL Gameweek 37 Captaincy decision is one of the few chances to do that.  Point hits should not be taken lightly with less time to break even, although the Liverpool game showed that if done for the right fixture, it can still be profitable.

Liverpool are pretty much out of the CL and they have a very limited turnaround before the second leg on Tuesday.  I would expect TAA and Firmino to play against Newcastle.  City have no distractions and Pep roulette should be minimal now, with Sane possibly the only casualty.  Spurs still have a fighting chance against Ajax and a reasonable gap before their second leg, so this will be a good opportunity for them to cement top four.  Chelsea / Arsenal play in the EL on Thursday and despite rotation, might be a bit fatigued at the weekend.  United are in terrible form, but without any distractions and amazing fixtures they’re still in the fight.

The mid-table battle appears to be between Wolves, Watford, Everton and Leicester with the poisoned chalice being a short summer holiday and Thursday night football.  All four would relish the challenge of competing in Europe though and none of them look like dropping off (although Watford might).

At the bottom Huddersfield are dead and buried, so are Fulham but they’ve started to perform.  Cardiff are four points behind Brighton so they will have to go all out for a win whereas I expect Brighton to just park the bus the next game in the hope that they will be guaranteed safety.

Neither of Burnley, Bournemouth, Newcastle, Palace, Southampton and West Ham look to be on the beach yet, but now they’re safe it will be interesting to see whether or not they relax.

 

Fixtures

Initial Thoughts?

  • Everton v Burnley– this should be quite a cagey game, Everton have hit form late in the season but Burnley are more than capable of holding their own.
  • Bournemouth v Spurs – this should be quite an open game. Spurs will be disappointed after their CL game on Tuesday, but they should be reasonably rested for this and they don’t have to play the CL again until Wed so I expect a full strength team, as one more win secures top four.    
  • West Ham v Southampton– West Ham turned up for their big derby against Spurs, but who knows whether they’ll be up for this game.  Southampton, on the other hand, are always up for a fight so this should be quite an open game.
  • Wolves v Fulham – this should be an interesting one, Wolves have that bit between their teeth now as they push for the EL place and Fulham have been on really good for since their relegation. Fulham are very attacking though, so they should be nice opposition for Wolves to exploit.
  • Cardiff v Crystal Palace – Palace are on decent form, but this game means everything for Cardiff, as they only have two games left to close out a four point gap. They have to go for a win here, which might leave them wide open.  Zaha and Co could have a field day.
  • Newcastle v Liverpool – I’ll be in Newcastle this weekend and it will be interesting to experience the atmosphere in town for this one. Liverpool will be gutted to come away from that CL game 3-0 down and without a precious Away goal.  With this game being on Saturday night that’s only really two days recovery and they will only really have two days to recover again before they have to play Barcelona but they can’t really afford to rotate much.  I think this will be a really tough game for them both physically and mentally.
  • Chelsea v Watford – Chelsea play Eintracht away on Thursday and may be a bit fatigued for this game. Deeney will be back from suspension, although it will be difficult to drop Gray after his recent goals.  I fancy Watford to make things very difficult for Chelsea here.
  • Huddersfield v Man United – this is the plum fixture of the week, regardless of how bad United have looked since Ole got the permanent role, it’s the perfect fixture to get them back on track and (unbelievably) they still have a chance of top four. All eyes on the press conference for the fitness of Rashford and Lukaku.
  • Arsenal v Brighton – like Chelsea they have a Thursday night game, but it’s at Home. Despite their terrible run, their aren’t many worse teams than Brighton at the moment and I can see Brighton trying not to lose rather than attempting to win this, which should hopefully lead to a Clean Sheet for fellow Leno owners.
  • Man City v Leicester – as a City fan I view this as our final test, as I really don’t expect Brighton to do much in the final Gameweek. Leicester are massively on form and setup to counter attack, so I don’t think we’ll open ourselves as much as we would have earlier in the season.  This could turn into an open basketball type goal fest but I expect it to be a cagey affair with so much at stake.

 

Twitter Captaincy Poll

 

 

 

Old Hunting Ground – do any of these picks have a good history vs their opposition?

Son and Eriksen look to have a great record over a reasonable sample and Son will be fresh after missing the first CL game, he’s not on the best form though.  Salah also appears pretty ominous for non owners, but he will be tired after the first CL game and won’t want to pick up a knock with such a quick turnaround before the next leg on Tuesday.  Both Pogba and Lukaku have an impeccable record against Huddersfield and Aguero has an immense record over a sustained period of games.

Sigurdsson, Hazard and Vardy are also worthy of a mention.

 

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All stats are from OPTA and are based on the last four home or away games dependant on where the next fixture is.

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