<p><em>Fantasy Premier League transfer tips and differentials series from <a href="https://twitter.com/FPLTIPZ">@FPLTIPZ</a> where he scours the FPL market for low-owned players with the potential to pick up big points to help shoot you up the rankings. Each week he uses our <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/opta/">OPTA stats</a> tool to pick out three players for the coming five Gameweeks for consideration for your FPL transfer who are currently under 10% owned from a variety of price points and teams.</em></p>
<h2></h2>
<h2 class="p1">Gameweek 21 FPL Differentials</h2>
<h3 class="p1"><strong>The Defender Differential &#8211; Antonio Rudiger </strong><strong>&#8211; £4.5</strong>m, 0.7% owned</h3>
<p>Chelsea started off the season with a strong run of defensive form with the joint-most clean sheets in the opening twelve Gameweeks of the season keeping five clean sheets. Recently, the form of Chelsea as declined, however, from a defensive and clean sheet point of view there has been little change. In the first fifteen Gameweeks of the season, Chelsea kept <strong>0.4 clean sheets per match,</strong> however, in the most recent five Gameweeks Chelsea have also kept a <strong>0.4 clean sheets per match</strong>. The change in form has come in front of goal as Chelsea have averaged just 0.6 goals per game in the most recent five Gameweeks compared to 2.0 for the first fifteen Gameweeks of the season. Out of the current starting defenders at Chelsea, <strong>Rudiger</strong> has the highest expected points per starts with 5.7, compared to 5.5 for <strong>Reece James</strong>, <strong>Thiago Silva</strong> with 5.4 and <strong>Ben </strong><strong>Chilwell</strong> with 5.3. This is due to the big chances and shots inside the box that Rudiger gets. The German defender averages 0.6 shots on target per game which is higher than any other Chelsea defender and 0.8 shots inside the box which is only lower than Zouma who seems to be currently out of favour. Rudiger also happens to be the cheapest of all the Chelsea defenders currently with all others being priced at least £0.6m more than. This means that even without the attacking threat that Rudiger offers, the German defender could offer great value as well as being a differential over other Fantasy Premier League managers who are favouring teammates in Chilwell or James.</p>
<div id="attachment_31751" style="width: 2324px" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-31751" class="wp-image-31751 size-full" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screenshot-2021-01-28-at-10.54.10.png" alt="best fpl transfer gameweek 21" width="2314" height="420" srcset="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screenshot-2021-01-28-at-10.54.10.png 2314w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screenshot-2021-01-28-at-10.54.10-300x54.png 300w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screenshot-2021-01-28-at-10.54.10-1024x186.png 1024w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screenshot-2021-01-28-at-10.54.10-768x139.png 768w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screenshot-2021-01-28-at-10.54.10-1536x279.png 1536w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screenshot-2021-01-28-at-10.54.10-2048x372.png 2048w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screenshot-2021-01-28-at-10.54.10-610x111.png 610w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screenshot-2021-01-28-at-10.54.10-1080x196.png 1080w" sizes="(max-width: 2314px) 100vw, 2314px" /><p id="caption-attachment-31751" class="wp-caption-text">Expected Points per Start This Season &#8211; Chelsea Defenders</p></div>
<p>On top of the new lease of life that Rudiger has found within the Chelsea lineup in recent Gameweeks, using the <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/fixture-ticker/">Hub&#8217;s Fixture Ticker</a>, Chelsea rank third for the best defensive fixtures over the next five Gameweeks. These fixtures include Burnley and Newcastle at home with away fixtures against Sheffield United, Tottenham and Southampton. All of these opponents, excluding Tottenham, <strong>sit in the bottom eight for expected goals per match</strong> in the past six Gameweeks. Only Tottenham (2.01 expected goals per game) and Sheffield United (1.05 expected goals per game) have expected goals scored of over one indicating that there could be strong potential for Chelsea to continue on the clean sheet kept in the first game under new manager Tuchel with this run potentially favourable for a run of defensive fixtures. In addition, with Rudiger being priced at just £4.5m, the German defender can be rotated with other defenders who may have a better fixture for example when Chelsea play Tottenham in Gameweek 22.</p>
<h3></h3>
<h3><strong>The Midfielder Differential &#8211; Pedro Neto &#8211; </strong>£5.9m, 10.4% owned</h3>
<p>Even though Wolves have shown a decline in form in front of goal since Jimenez was injured, the new signing of <strong>William Jose</strong> could help Wolves to return to the goalscoring form seen during the beginning of this season and the duration of the 2019/20 season. On the <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/fixture-ticker/">Hub&#8217;s Fixture Ticker</a>, Wolves have the <strong>fourth-best attacking fixtures</strong> over the next five Gameweeks ranked only behind Manchester United, Fulham and Crystal Palace. These fixtures include Arsenal, Leicester and Leeds at home with away fixtures against Crystal Palace and Southampton. This strong run of fixtures also continues after the next five Gameweeks including Newcastle in Gameweek 26.</p>
<p>Four of the next five teams that Wolves face (excluding Southampton) rank in the bottom five teams for <strong>shots conceded from set-pieces</strong> in the most recent six Gameweeks. With Neto being on corners and some free kicks for Wolves, this could offer good assist potential for Neto. Combining with this, Crystal Palace, Leeds and Southampton all rank in the bottom seven for big chances conceded per game over the last six Gameweeks. Using the <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/opta/">OPTA stats tool</a>, Neto has the highest goal and assist potential within the Wolves team. Neto has the most shots per game as well as making the most key passes per game out of any Wolves player. This has meant that <strong>Neto has the second-highest points per start for Wolves</strong> only behind £5.0m priced defender Romain Saiss who has combined both clean sheet potential with goal threat. This indicates that over this run of five fixtures there is potential for Wolves to return both goals and assists and so return to the points scoring form that has been seen at times during this season at a very affordable price of £5.9m.</p>
<div id="attachment_31784" style="width: 2328px" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-31784" class="wp-image-31784 size-full" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screenshot-2021-01-28-at-21.21.01.png" alt="gw21 best fpl transfer" width="2318" height="416" srcset="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screenshot-2021-01-28-at-21.21.01.png 2318w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screenshot-2021-01-28-at-21.21.01-300x54.png 300w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screenshot-2021-01-28-at-21.21.01-1024x184.png 1024w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screenshot-2021-01-28-at-21.21.01-768x138.png 768w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screenshot-2021-01-28-at-21.21.01-1536x276.png 1536w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screenshot-2021-01-28-at-21.21.01-2048x368.png 2048w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screenshot-2021-01-28-at-21.21.01-610x109.png 610w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screenshot-2021-01-28-at-21.21.01-1080x194.png 1080w" sizes="(max-width: 2318px) 100vw, 2318px" /><p id="caption-attachment-31784" class="wp-caption-text">Wolves Players Points per Start This Season</p></div>
<h3></h3>
<h3><strong>The Forward Differential &#8211; Christian Benteke &#8211; </strong>£5.5m, 0.7% owned</h3>
<p>Crystal Palace have tried to get the best out of Benteke for several seasons but it has never seemed to have clicked. However, so far in the 2020/21 season, Benteke has returned the same amount of goals and assists that he has returned in the previous two seasons combined, despite playing only 33% of the minutes. The reason for his improved form is the increased number of shots the striker is taking this season. Using the <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/opta/">OPTA stats tool</a>, <strong>Benteke ranks third for shots inside the box</strong> per start over the last ten Gameweeks with 2.75 per start. This ranks only behind Vardy and Watkins, priced at £10.0m and £6.2m respectively. Benteke is also the only player priced under £6.0m amongst the top seven for shots inside the box over the past ten. Many of these shots have come from headers as Benteke has more headed chances per game in the past ten Gameweeks than any other player in the Premier League. These strong shooting statistics are added to by the Belgian ranking sixth for key passes in the most recent ten Gameweeks and with the <strong>return of Zaha into the starting lineup</strong> for Crystal Palace, Benteke has the potential to be a strong differential with both goal and assist potential over the coming Gameweeks.</p>
<div id="attachment_31782" style="width: 2324px" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-31782" class="wp-image-31782 size-full" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screenshot-2021-01-28-at-17.52.29.png" alt="gameweek 21 fantasy football transfer" width="2314" height="472" srcset="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screenshot-2021-01-28-at-17.52.29.png 2314w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screenshot-2021-01-28-at-17.52.29-300x61.png 300w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screenshot-2021-01-28-at-17.52.29-1024x209.png 1024w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screenshot-2021-01-28-at-17.52.29-768x157.png 768w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screenshot-2021-01-28-at-17.52.29-1536x313.png 1536w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screenshot-2021-01-28-at-17.52.29-2048x418.png 2048w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screenshot-2021-01-28-at-17.52.29-610x124.png 610w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screenshot-2021-01-28-at-17.52.29-1080x220.png 1080w" sizes="(max-width: 2314px) 100vw, 2314px" /><p id="caption-attachment-31782" class="wp-caption-text">Shots per Start &#8211; Last 10 Gameweeks</p></div>
<p>On the <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/fixture-ticker/">Hub&#8217;s Fixture Ticker</a>, Crystal Palace rank <strong>third for the best-attacking fixtures over the next five Gameweeks</strong>, ranked only behind Chelsea, Manchester United and Fulham. This upcoming run of fixtures for Crystal Palace includes Wolves and Burnley at home with Newcastle, Leeds and Brighton away. All of these teams, except Burnley (with 0.82), have conceded on average one or more goals per game over the last ten Gameweeks. Therefore combining a strong run of fixtures along with the return from injury of the main attacking player for Crystal Palace in Wilfried Zaha, could make <strong>Cristian Benteke a very affordable differential</strong> for the upcoming five Gameweeks and a potential replacement for the highly owned Patrick Bamford (49.3% owned), who has failed to score in the last three Gameweeks despite fixtures against Brighton and Newcastle.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Thanks for reading &#8211; Feel free to message me any questions &#8211; Twitter &#8211; <a href="https://twitter.com/FPLTIPZ">@FPLTIPZ</a></p>
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FPL Differential Transfers Gameweek 21 | Fantasy Premier League Transfer Tips 2020/21

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