Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 34 transfer tips and differentials series from @FPLTIPZ where he scours the FPL market for low-owned players with the potential to pick up big points to help shoot you up the rankings. Each week he uses our OPTA stats tool to pick out three players for the coming five Gameweeks for consideration for your FPL transfer who are currently under 10% owned from a variety of price points and teams.
Gameweek 34 FPL Differentials
The Defender Differential – Vladimir Coufal – £4.7m, 6.4% owned
So far this season, the West Ham defence has been one of the most popular and most affordable in the league. This saw Cresswell rising to be the highest scoring and most highly owned defender in Fantasy Premier League before recently being overtaken by Stuart Dallas of Leeds due to an injury to the West Ham man.
However, it is Cresswell’s teammate in Vladimir Coufal that could provide a strong differential throughout the remainder of the season. Coufal has played both at right back but more recently at right wing back for West Ham which has seen the Czech defender pick up three assists in the past four Gameweeks and is the second highest scoring West Ham defender behind Cresswell despite being £1.0m cheaper.
On top of this, since Christmas, Coufal has the fifth highest expected attacking points per start only behind Alexander-Arnold, Cancelo, Aurier and Cooper. However, Coufal is the only one of these defenders to play every single one of these games with 16 starts in 16.
This means for the strong run of fixtures that West Ham have and need to continue to perform in to maintain the possibility of Champions League football, Coufal should continue to play every week and can combine both this attacking threat with some clean sheets as well.
On top of the form that Coufal has shown from an attacking position in recent Gameweeks with three assists in the past four Gameweeks, West Ham have a strong run of fixtures to end the season that could allow for the wing back to see continued attacking returns as well as potential clean sheets. These fixtures include Burnley, Brighton and West Brom away with Everton and Southampton at home.
All of these teams rank in the bottom half for goals scored so far this season with Burnley, West Brom and Brighton all averaging a maximum of a single goal per game. This could offer West Ham an opportunity to return to the clean sheet form shown at the beginning of the season ranking fourth for clean sheets before Christmas with 6, just two behind first placed Manchester City.
Finally the new Hub Fixture Ticker ranks West Ham with the best defensive fixtures for the final five Gameweeks of the season with the highest possibility of clean sheets across these games.
The Midfielder Differential – Mason Greenwood – £7.1m, 5.9% owned
Greenwood has always had potential to be one of the best value players in Fantasy Premier League, however, the youngster has rarely seen a continued run of minutes to maximise this potential. At the end of the 2019/20 season, Greenwood returned 50 points from eight starts with five goals and one assist again indicating the potential to be a good Fantasy asset.
However, in recent Gameweeks, Greenwood has shown form that could imply that the Manchester United man may be having an end to the season similar to that of the 2019/20 season. Using the OPTA stats tool, in the last five Gameweeks, Greenwood has returned 38 points with four goals and one assist being the highest scoring Manchester United player and sixth highest scorer across all of FPL.
As well as this, Greenwood ranks second across all players for expected points per 90 minutes across these last five Gameweeks with 8.5 points per 90, only behind Mane of Liverpool with 8.6 who is priced at £4.5m more.
Finally, Greenwood also ranks first for shots per 90 minutes and second for shots in the box and on target over this period only behind Jota which again implies that if Greenwood continues to be given minutes in the final five Gameweeks, at just £7.1m and 5.9% owned, the Englishman could be a strong differential for the run in.
The upcoming fixtures for Manchester United are mixed with more difficult fixtures against Liverpool and Leicester and potentially more favourable matches against Aston Villa, Fulham and Wolves. These five teams have managed just six clean sheets from their last 25 combined games with Fulham and Aston Villa not keeping a single one.
As well as this, the new Hub Fixture Ticker ranks Manchester United as the third best attack in the league and expect only two teams in Liverpool and Manchester City to pick up more points between now and the end of the season.
This all indicates that if Greenwood can continue to get a good amount of minutes in the starting lineup for Manchester United, at just £7.1m and only 5.9% owned, the English forward could offer a good differential.
The Forward Differential – Chris Wood – £6.3m, 2.6% owned
The forward differential for Gameweek 34 and the rest of the season is Chris Wood of Burnley. (I did pick this before Wood scored 20 points in Gameweek 33… I promise!). Across the last ten Gameweeks, Wood ranks first for shots on target per start and first for shots in the box per start and finally first for expected goals per start out of any player in the league.
This has meant that across these last ten Gameweeks, Wood has the third highest expected points per start out of any position only behind Salah of Liverpool and Zouma of Chelsea.
All of this implies that not only is Wood shown good form in Gameweek 33 with a hat trick against Wolves but has shown a good run for a longer period of matches and so could be a good differential for the run in as still just 2.6% owned.
On top of the form Wood and Burnley have shown in recent weeks, the upcoming fixtures could allow for the New Zealand forward to continue on the strong run of form shown with 54 points scored in the past six Gameweeks. These fixtures include West Ham, Leeds and Liverpool at home with away fixtures against Fulham and Sheffield United.
All of these teams except for Liverpool sit in the bottom half for goals conceded this season and have a maximum of 0.3 clean sheets per game. This indicates that given the goal involvement Wood has had this season for Burnley, the strong form that the New Zealand forward has shown across recent Gameweeks, not just in Gameweek 33 and the positive upcoming fixtures, at just 2.6% owned, Wood could offer a good differential for the run in.
Thanks for reading – Feel free to message me any questions – Twitter – @FPLTIPZ