Here it is. The big one. The final DGW of the 2017/18 season and I can’t believe that in less than two weeks’ time it will all be wrapped up.
If you still have your chips, a wildcard, or if you’re just feeling lucky, taking a gamble now could provide you with the boost needed to win your mini-league.
However, whilst the DGW provides the chance to score extra points, one must consider the pitfalls of rotation at this late stage of the campaign.
In addition, the threat of relegation can produce unlikely wins too, as West Brom and Southampton’s performances have recently shown. Some teams have much more to play for than others.
Plenty to weigh up then!
Everton vs Southampton + Swansea vs Southampton
Man United, Spurs and Man City all have promising fixtures this GW, but I wanted to look at at least one set of fixtures outside of the top six. This juicy double is all about Southampton. Prior to last week, the Saints had only managed 1 win in 9 matches, but that all changed when they beat south coast rivals Bournemouth thanks to two Dusan Tadic (£6.2) goals. His 15-point haul made him GW36’s top scorer and earnt him a place in the FPL Scout One’s to Watch article this week.
Teammate Charlie Austin (5.8) is another name to think about. He struggles for minutes but when he’s on the pitch his record speaks for itself. 7 goals in 800 minutes this season. To put that into context, other players with a similar goals-per-minutes ratio include: Giroud (6 in 779), Aubameyang (6 in 810), and Tosun (5 in 834).
Whilst I wouldn’t bet on a Southampton clean sheet in either of these fixtures (Bet365 are offering around 2/1 on it happening in either game) Ryan Bertrand (£5.3) is the 3rd ranked defender for assists and could provide points going forward.
All this being said, Everton’s defence will take confidence from 3 clean sheets in their last 4 games. As mentioned, Southampton might be able to threaten them, but if you’re looking for a way in Jagielka (£4.7) could be an interesting budget option. He’s nailed for 90 minutes and only owned by 2.7% of managers.
Elsewhere, Pickford (4.9) is ranked 3rd for saves in the league this season. Walcott (6.8) has a goal and an assist in his last 2 games.
Finally, the Swans provide slim pickings, but are still playing to avoid the drop and have a second GW37 tie against Bournemouth. Fabianski (£4.7) could be worth bringing in for his number of saves, whilst Jordan Ayew (£5.3) is the man they’ll look to for goals.
West Brom vs Spurs + Spurs vs Newcastle
Ok, now we launch into the powerhouse players of the top six.
Premium but prolific, Spurs’ key men Harry Kane (£13), Eriksen (£9.6) and Davies (£5.3) look attractive ahead of GW37.
I have wrestled with the idea of going without Kane due to his huge price tag and his apparent lack of fitness. But, he’s eked out 2 goals in his last 2 games and heading into these fixtures its perilous to ignore him. He will be a popular Triple Captain choice this week.
Eriksen is the most in-form Spurs midfielder with 4 goals and 2 assists in his last 6 games. Alli (£9.0) is a slightly cheaper option boasting attacking returns in all but one of his last 6 fixtures, Man City being the understandable exception, however, Eriksen’s role taking corners and free kicks helps to justify the extra £0.6 if you can afford it.
Davies is a rotation risk but has played a full 90 in the last 3 Spurs games. 137 points make him the 5th highest scoring defender in FPL and, priced at £5.8, he’s ranked as the 2nd best value one too. However, for £5.7 you could also purchase Chris Smalling, who has DGW fixtures against Brighton and West Ham.
West Brom are likely to get relegated even if they win both of their last two games and whilst they seem to be rallying under Darren Moore I can’t see them getting anything against Spurs, who are seeking to secure Champions League football.
Newcastle players have just fallen out of form. I think they are likely to pick up points against a Watford side in their other GW37 fixture but I don’t think they’ll get anything at Spurs. They may even have to field a rotated side.
Man City vs Huddersfield + Man City vs Brighton
A City side that keeps producing blistering performances has arguably the best pair of GW37 fixtures.
Their key men? Jesus, (£10.4) Sterling (£9.1), and Kevin De Bruyne (£10.3).
Whilst he’s not exactly flying under the radar I was surprised that Jesus’ stats are as good as they are: 4 goals and 3 assists in his last 6 games. He continues as the sole replacement striker for Aguero and is much cheaper than Kane if you’re looking to trim spending.
Sterling is also in magnificent form with an outstanding 7 assists and 3 goals in his last 6 games. He is FPL’s 2nd highest points scorer after Mo Salah and tied with De Bruyne for the most assists of 2017/18.
However, the Belgian will fancy his odds of splitting the Huddersfield and Brighton defences. Only Stoke have conceded more goals than the Terriers this season, and coincidentally, only Stoke have a worse away record then Brighton this season. The Seagulls have taken just 11 points on their travels.
Crunching the numbers some more, Brighton and Huddersfield have scored a total of just 20 away goals, which looks promising for City’s defence. Whilst there has been rotation over the past few weeks I think it’s safe to advise keeping any City defenders you may have.
Finally, it is extremely difficult to predict how many minutes they will be given but Sané (£8.6), D. Silva (£8.3) and B. Silva (£7.3) are likely to make cameos in GW37. Again, my advice would be if you’ve got them, keep them, but don’t take hits to bring them in. Prioritise the more consistent performers above.
It is very hard to choose anyone from the Huddersfield and Brighton lineups. David Wagner has done fantastically well with what is essentially a Championship side but I think they will struggle and I say that as a Huddersfield fan that has watched them a lot this season. Meanwhile, Brighton are relatively safe but face both Manchester sides in the DGW. If you were feeling optimistic you could take a chance on Matt Ryan (£4.6) for the save points.
Also worth a look…
- Zaha (£7.0)
I had him in my draft GW36 squad all the way up until the last minute when I decided to roll over my transfer and not bring him in. Probably my most painful decision of the season. 4 goals and 2 assists in his last 5 games officially make him the most in form player in FPL right now.
- Pogba (£7.9)
Tempting GW37 fixtures against Brighton and West Ham. As with the DGW in 34 I think Jose will rotate but Pogba is likely to be safe from this. He played in both of the GW34 matches. Has a goal and an assist in his last 2.
- Cresswell (£4.9)
My crazy pick of the week. West Ham’s defence has been shocking all season so I’m not expecting clean sheet points, but he scored against Man City in his last game and slammed a great free-kick against the bar. Has fixtures against Leicester and United if you’re feeling lucky or desperate to pick someone almost no-one will have, his ownership is 2.3%.
- Aubameyang (£10.7)
Wenger’s focus is undoubtedly on the Europa League fixture being played tonight but their appealing DGW features Burnley (H) before Leicester (A). Aubameyang, who has scored 6 goals and provided 3 assists in his 10 games so far for Arsenal, isn’t eligible in the Europa League due to already appearing in the competition for Dortmund, which means he will be rested and ready to seal 6th place for the Gunners. You would hope…
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