Who are the best Fantasy Premier League forwards to own for Gameweek 10? 4-time top 1k finisher Abdul Rehman uses the Hub's OPTA, Comparison and Fixture tools to find the best FPL budget and premium forwards for our FPL teams.
I can’t believe its Gameweek 10 already. With all the madness this season is bringing it has felt like a blur so far. Anyhow looking at our Fixture Ticker and filtering to ‘attack’ for Gameweek 10 we can see some really enticing fixtures for the forwards. There are around seven teams with very plum games and rated highly buy the algorithm. As always I will be picking the top five best forwards for the current Gameweek by looking at form, fixtures, and underlying stats.
Jamie Vardy (£10.1m) – Leicester City
Fixture: Fulham (H)
The Foxes were knocked off the top of the league last week by the current champions. Leicester had a rare off game but ultimately were played off the park by the Reds. They failed to capitalise on Liverpool’s depleted defence and this was only Vardy’s third blank of the season.
The golden boot winner has a great chance to get back to scoring ways as he faces newly promoted Fulham at home. He has 13 Shots on Target (5th), 16 Shots in the Box and 13 Big Chances (1st) in his seven starts. The Cottagers have been poor this season and have been leaking goals. They have conceded 15 goals (17th), 74 Shots in the Box (16th), 54 Shots on Target (19th), and 23 Big Chances (20th), which ranks them as one of the worst defensive sides in the league.
Vardy already has eight goals and two assists to his name and you would bet good money on him adding to those tallies in this game. Fulham have one of the worst defensive stats in the league and Leicester have been free scoring this year scoring 18 goals (4th) in their first nine games. The Englishman is their talisman, is on penalties and he also has a 51% chance of scoring anytime according to our Points Prediction Tool. I personally think he is one of the best captaincy options this week. He is a proven goal scorer and Leicester City will be desperate to bounce back after only their second defeat of the season.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.8m) – Everton
Fixture: Leeds United (H)
Dominic Calvert-Lewin is having an amazing season and far beyond what anyone expected. He has now scored an impressive 10 goals in his first nine games and becomes the fastest player to score 10 goals in the Premier League ever. It's clear now that he is a serious contender for the golden boot and Everton are a far better team than they have been for as long as I can remember.
The England forward also has one of the best attacking stats in the league and is making a mockery of his £7.0m starting price. He has 17 Shots on Target (1nd), 24 Shots in the Box (4th), and has had 11 Big Chances (2nd). Everton face Leeds United at home in Gameweek 10 who have played well this season but have been very suspect at the back.
They have conceded 81 Shots in the Box (18th), 41 Shots on Target (15th), 21 Big Chances (19th) and have conceded 17 goals (19th). The Toffees, attacking wise have had no problems scoring bagging 19 goals (3rd), with 41 Shots on Target (9th), 66 Shots in the Box (8th) and 21 Big Chances (5th) whilst they have also created 15 Big Chances (3rd). This game looks like it will be a high scoring one with both teams very attacking and both with players who can score. I personally think this is a great fixture for Calvert-Lewin and can see him adding more attacking returns.
After losing three games, Everton got back to winning ways against Fulham last weekend and it was no surprise with key players such as Richarlison (£7.8m), Lucas Digne (£6.1m) and James Rodriguez (£7.8m) back after suspensions and injury. With all the main players back I can see the Merseyside club scoring a few in this but also conceding so that’s always good for your attacking players.
It's clear that the return of Richarlison has especially been good for Everton and Calvert-Lewin. He is a playmaker, a goal scorer and amazingly since the Brazilian has signed for the Toffees they have never won a game when he has been absent.
Timo Werner (£9.5m) – Chelsea
Fixture: Spurs (H)
Timo Werner has scored four goals and three assists in total now however all those attacking returns have come in the last five games bar one assist. Only Harry Kane (£11.0m) has had more attacking returns in the same period. After a slow start in the Premier League, he is now looking like one of Europe’s best strikers again. It’s no coincidence that the return of the likes of Hakim Ziyech (£8.3m) and other key players in defence has Chelsea looking like a different prospect than in the first few games of the season. They have a settled team and are gelling well together.
The German has 22 Shots, 10 Shots on Target, 19 Shots in the Box and five seven Big Chances. Chelsea face a tough game against Spurs but there’s always goals in the London Derby. In the last five league games between these two there has been 15 goals and the Blues have won the last three meetings.
Both teams have been good defensively but also been very attacking too. Chelsea have 51 Shots on Target (2nd), 73 Shots in the Box (6th), 20 Big Chances (6th) and 22 goals scored (1st). They also have third highest xG at 16.71.
Spurs attacking numbers are slightly better with 50 Shots on Target (3rd), 78 Shots in the Box (5th), 29 Big Chances (2nd), 21 goals scored (2nd), and an xG of 18.51 (2nd).
Both teams have an amazing array of attacking talent and I can't see anything but goals in this match. Chelsea sit just two points behind Spurs in the league so will be going on the offensive in my opinion. Timo Werner hasn’t blanked in his last three games and had numerous chances to score against Newcastle and on another day would have hauled big.
I think this game will be high scoring and watching Werner play over the last few games he does seem their most potent goal threat. With him also being on penalties it makes him a good pick against any team.
Patrick Bamford (£6.1m) – Leeds United
Fixture: Everton (a)
Patrick Bamford is another one of many budget strikers who has taken us all by surprise. In his first nine games he has managed to score seven goals and two assists and sits as the fourth highest scoring forward in the game on 60 points. At a starting price of only £5.5m the forward has been immense value. Due to the attacking style of Leeds he gets a lot of chances and for a fantasy football manager this is exactly what we want.
He has one of the best attacking stats in the league with 34 Shots (2nd), 16 Shots on Target (2nd), 31 Shots in the Box (1st), and 11 Big Chance (2nd). He is clearly thriving in his role as the main striker and this trend will continue throughout the season as Leeds don’t look like changing the way the play. They have had 130 Shots (2nd), 49 Shots in the on Target (4th), and 91 Shots in the Box (2nd). As I mentioned earlier I do think there will be goals in this game, both defences are not the best and their attacking output is where their strength lies. Everton have conceded 67 Shots in the Box (14th), 42 Shots on Target (16th) and 18 Big Chances (18th) so they clearly give up a lot of Big Chances and give the opposition opportunities to score.
The chance of a clean sheet from either sides is unlikely. Leeds have shown time and time again that no matter who they come up against they will play the same attacking, possession based football. They didn’t hold back against Liverpool or Manchester City so I don’t see them doing it against Everton. Bamford and Calvert-Lewin are both joint top for most open play Big Chances this season and the Leeds striker is putting up good attacking stats against even the big teams and tougher fixtures, as proven with goals against Liverpool (a), and a hattrick against Aston Villa (a) also.
Gabriel Jesus (£9.3m) – Manchester City
Fixture: Burnley (H)
Manchester City have had a really poor start to the season especially by their high standards. After eight games they sit a lowly 13th with only 12 points and more surprisingly only 10 goals scored. Its clear they are missing David Silva and the fact they started the season with no Sergio Aguero (£10.3m) and Jesus getting injured after the first game really didn’t help.
However, now the Brazilian is fit and the Blues embark on a great run of fixture starting from Gameweek 10 against Burnley at home. In his three starts in the league this season Gabriel has scored twice and has had 9 Shots, 4 Shots on Target, 8 Shots in the Box and two Big Chances so his stats are up there as you would expect. Manchester City are too good of a team to carry on this poor form and have too many elite players so surely a turnaround in form is around the corner.
They face a Burnley team who have kept back to back clean sheets and whose defensive stats have been good. They have only conceded 94 Shots (10th), 59 Shots in the Box (8th), 37 Shots on Target (10th) and 11 Big Chances (2nd). However facing Man City away from home is a probably the toughest fixture in the league for any team and as good as they have been I can't see them keeping City out, despite their recent poor form. With Jesus back fit he will get a lot of chances to score as historically he is a volume striker. Last season in the league he averaged 2.4 shots per game with 0.4 goals per game – scoring 14 times in only 21 starts. He also sits at 52% to score anytime according to our Points Prediction Tool.
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