In this weekly series of posts, I am going to manage an FPL team using the Hub’s RMT Tool. The idea is to help Hub members understand and use it better, as well as road test it in order to improve it over time.
Last week’s results (GW9)
GW9 should probably go down as another rather medicore one for fantasy managers, with a low average score and little variation either side. The RMT Tool outscored the average by four, accruing 41 points thanks mainly to clean sheets for budget defenders Rico and Lundstram and the now largely neglected Digne. We got a green arrow up from 444K to 369K. The team has made steady progress of late with three green arrows across the last four weeks although with such small point spreads recently the gains are only marginal and an explosive gameweek (remember them?) could change everything.
Elite Manager’s Results
The Elite managers we track performed a little below the RMT Tool, with a score of 37 points on average. Overall they suffered a minor rank drop from 713K to 757K.
GW10 RMT Tool Analysis
We’ve two free transfers in hand and I personally would not be super enthusiastic about any of the tool’s suggested transfers for this gameweek. Tomori and Soyuncu are great shouts, of course, likely to provide great season-long value and are on the radar for next week and beyond. However, you’d hope for Digne to have at least an equal chance of a return this week, if not better. And as you can see from the “Show My Wildcard” result the tool has no exciting plans on how to spend the extra funds a Digne sale would provide, not yet anyway. Todd Cantwell also feels like yesterday’s news to a degree. He has 66% ownership in our elite manager sample and sure enough, the vast majority picked him up through Gameweeks 4-6. However, 66% ownership is not to be sniffed at and a fair few will field him this week you’d expect.
With greater sophistication the tool could perhaps look for fresher options. To do so manually we can actually consult The Watchlist which is based on the same data. Here, we can see Adama Traore as one possible alternative, although with elite ownership of just 4% the tool would need to be extremely aggressive to fancy him over Cantwell. Regardless of these rumblings, I am committed to managing this team based on the tool’s suggestions so Todd Cantwell in for Dendocker is a done deal. All things considered, it’s not a major change and certainly adds to the squad’s depth in a season where bench players have already proven valuable.
But wait, what about Pukki?
If I am ruminating on the Cantwell signing, where is the tool at with regards to teammate Teemu Pukki? The Finn’s ownership amongst the elite is still high at 60%. Whilst this has dropped significantly from last week’s 86% and is predicted by the algorithm to drop further he’s still sufficiently ahead everyone in this bracket except Tammy Abraham (who is now 100% owned!). Callum Wilson’s ownership surged from 6% in GW8 up to 38% last week so he is the top alternative to replace Pukki currently. However, his own momentum has spluttered somewhat after a blank against Norwich, whilst Jamie Vardy and Raúl Jiménez have both moved up in the ratings as viable contenders. So, all in all, Pukki’s decreasing trend is enough to stop the RMT Tool algorithm suggesting him as a “transfer in” but, without a clear pick to replace him, it’s not looking to move him on just yet either.
A few wildcards last week so the overall total who have used their Wildcard is now up to 70%. The RMT Tool keeps hold of its own for another week. We’re really looking a big disruption to the current template to make playing it an obvious move so stay tuned for that ;)
Team for GW10
Some difficult choices with lineup and captaincy which are beyond the current scope of the RMT Tool so I have turned to other Hub Tools for support. Firstly, who to start, specifically new signing Todd Cantwell versus this season’s fantasy hero John Lundstram. The Algorithm by Carl forecasts 0.5 more points for Cantwell for GW10 so he makes the cut. Secondly, the all-important Captain pick. Typically I go with the @FFootballHub Twitter Poll but that’s so close this week that I thought to turn to Chris Tan’s most excellent Captain Article. Good luck with those green arrows!
See what moves the RMT Tool suggests for your team
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