Who are the best Fantasy Premier League forwards to own for Gameweek 9? 4-time top 1k finisher Abdul Rehman uses the Hub's OPTA, Comparison and Fixture tools to find the best FPL budget and premium forwards for our FPL teams.
Check out our Ultimate Guide to FPL Gameweek 9 for all the key information, stats and tips you need going into the weekend's action.
Looking at our Fixture Ticker for Gameweek 9 I actually think it’s a tricky week for strikers. Teams like Manchester United, Burnley and Wolves have good games on paper but their forwards aren’t exactly setting the house on fire, however, due to the wide range of options we have in the forwards category this season I am sure we can still pick a few winners. As always I will go through the stats, form, and fixtures and pick the best forwards for the coming Gameweek.
Timo Werner (£9.4m) – Chelsea
Fixture: Newcastle United (a)
Timo Werner has now scored four goals and one assist in his last four games. He has clearly settled in now and looks to be the player we all knew he was when he joined the Premier League.
The German has 20 Shots, nine Shots on Target, 17 Shots in the Box and five Big Chances. Chelsea face a trip to Newcastle United in their Gameweek 9 fixture and looking at the Toons defensive stats it seems that Werner could be in for another haul.
They currently sit 13th in the league and have one of the worst defensive stats in the league. They have conceded 132 Shots (20th), 74 Shots in the Box (19th), 53 Shots on Target (20th) and have an xGC of 13.39 (16th).
Now if we look at Chelsea’s attacking numbers they have one of the best attacking stats in league. They have managed 105 Shots (3rd) 48 Shots on Target (2nd), 64 Shots in the Box (6th) and have scored the most goals with 20. Judging by the form Chelsea are in and with emphatic wins in their last two games which has seen them score seven goals it would seem another big win is on the cards against Steve Bruce's men.
With Werner now getting numerous chances per match and scoring his confidence will be sky high and of course he will be eager to put Newcastle to the sword. Also, we now know who he Chelsea’s number one penalty taker which makes him, for me the best forward option for Gameweek 9. I fancy him for the long run also and this he is great value at only £9.4m.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.8m) – Everton
Fixture: Fulham (a)
The Everton forward is still the joint top scorer in the league with 8 goals and also one assist to his name. His output and stats have been tremendous for a £7.8m striker and bear in mind his starting price was only £7.0m. The England international is one of the best value players in the game.
He has 14 Shots on Target (2nd), 22 Shots in the Box (4th) and has had nine Big Chances (2nd). Everton face Fulham in Gameweek 9 who are currently just above the drop zone in 17th have been one of the worst sides in the league defensively.
The Cottagers have conceded 67 Shots in the Box (15th), 47 Shots on Target (17th), 19 Big Chances (19th) and have conceded 15 goals (18th). Everton attacking wise have been decent this season scoring 16 goals (4th), with 34 Shots on Target (10th), 59 Shots in the Box (8th) and 17 Big Chances (5th). They have also created 12 Big Chances (4th). Again on paper, it looks as if The Toffees could score a few and Calvert-Lewin will be for sure be looking to add to his tally in the hope of finishing as top scorer.
Everton have lost their last three games and this can be put down to key players like Richarlison (£7.8m), Lucas Digne (£6.1m) and James Rodriguez (£7.8m) missing in action. It is worth noting though that during these three games Dominic Calvert-Lewin has still managed a goal and an assist and the good news is that all three will be back for Gameweek 9 and they have a great fixture to get back to their winning ways
With the quality of players to return and their creativity, I think there will be goals in this game and Everton will win this one quite comfortably and the main benefactor will be the Evertonian. He has the creative flair of Rodriguez and Digne and also has his strike partner back in Richarlison which will only benefit him. He has proven this season he can score consistently and is dangerous in the air and on his feet.
Ollie Watkins (£6.1m) – Aston Villa
Fixture: Brighton (H)
Ollie Watkins is looking to being close to essential just now. At only £6.1m he has six goals and one assist and he currently sits as the 6th highest scoring forward on 47 points despite playing a game less than the forwards ahead of him. He burst on to our radars with his hattrick and assist against Liverpool in Gameweek 4 but blanked in his next two after that. In his last two games he has scored three goals, most recently his impressive brace at the Emirates just last Gameweek.
His stats and output have been impressive with 18 Shots, nine Shots on Target, 18 Shots in the Box and nine Big Chances (2nd), as well as creating nine Chances himself. That is pretty much on par or slightly better than Timo Werner who has played a game more and plays for a far superior team. Aston Villa now embark on a fantastic run of fixtures which starts off with a home game against Brighton on Gameweek 9.
Watkins will be brimming with confidence as will Villa after beating Arsenal 3-0 away from home. He seems to be thriving in this team with quality players like Jack Grealish (£7.5m) and Ross Barkley (£6.0m) providing the service. I said in my Gameweek 7 article that I thought Ollie Watkins would be one of the top-scoring budget forward options this season and he has proven why. He also seems to be the penalty taker now as he took the one against Southampton but that is not definite as there seemed to be a bit of discussion with him Grealish and Trezeguet regarding who should have taken the spot-kick. I do believe though with him being the striker and on the form that he is in, he will get them. It was also a very well taken penalty so that will be definitely be something which the manager will have taken note of.
Jamie Vardy (£10.1m) – Leicester City
Fixture: Liverpool (a)
The Foxes are top of the league just now largely thanks to Vardy’s eight goals and two assists. He is also the joint top scorer in the league sharing the spoils with Mohamed Salah (£12.4m), Hueng-Min Son (£9.6m) and Dominic Calvert (£7.8m) despite playing fewer games and less minutes than the others. He has 16 Shots, 12 Shots on Target (3rd), 15 Shots in the Box and a massive 12 Big Chances (1st).
Vardy comes up against Liverpool at Anfield which typically would be one of the hardest fixtures of the season for any team, however Liverpool have been on a bit of a slump defensively this season conceding the second-most goals (16) and Big Chances (18) in the league. Looking further into their underlying numbers though they haven’t been so bad only conceding 68 Shots (3rd), 46 Shots in the Box (4th) and 32 Shots on Target (12th). This is still not typical of Liverpool’s defence and this can be put down to injuries to key players such as Virgil Van Dijk (£6.3m), and Alisson (£5.9m) at different stages of the season. The high amount of big chances they have conceded also shows a lot of goals have been down to individual mistakes.
Now reports are coming out from the England camp that Joe Gomez (£5.4m) has suffered a serious leg injury which will keep him out for a while and early reports are also telling us that Trent Alexender-Arnolds’s (£7.3m) injury will keep him out for four weeks. This leaves Andy Robertson (£7.1m) as their only first-team defender.
This will no doubt weaken their defence further and I can see this being a good game for the Leicester forward with seven of his eight goals this season coming away from home. Leicester City like to sit back and catch teams on the counter which Vardy thrives on due to his pace. With so many first-team defenders out for the Reds, I can see the golden boot winner capitalising on this.
Also, Leicester have received an incredible eight penalties in the league so far which is one more than they received in the whole of last season with Vardy scoring six of the seven he has taken. With the pace Brendan Rodgers' men have in their team and with so many key personnel out for Liverpool I wouldn’t be surprised to see them given another one and we know Vardy is their number one penalty taker.
Aleksandar Mitrović (£5.7m) - Fulham
Fixture: Everton (H)
The Serbian has been an extremely frustrating and costly own for his managers. After scoring a brace against Leeds United in Gameweek 2 he blanked in his next four which included a missed penalty against Sheffield United in Gameweek 5. He did partly redeem himself against West Brom where he got two assists but it hasn’t been enough really especially with so many other similarly priced forwards like Patrick Bamford (£6.0m) and the aforementioned Ollie Watkins (£6.1m) doing so well. Also he didn’t even take the penalty in last week’s game against West Ham which was taken by Ademola Lookman (£5.0m) which he subsequently missed after attempting one of the worst panenkas I have ever seen. To top it off he has also fallen in price by £0.3m. I think you can probably tell that I am indeed an owner of the Fulham forward.
Saying all that though his underlying numbers still remain one of the best in the league with 29 Shots (3rd), 8 Shots on Target, 26 Shots in the Box (3rd) and six Big Chances (4th). On top of that, he has also created eight Chances and two Big Chances. If he keeps putting up these sorts of numbers he will score well over the course of the season relative to his price.
He is still Fulham’s talisman and will be back on penalties as Fulham boss Scott Parker did state after the match that the Mitrovic was feeling his hamstring and that was the only reason Lookman stepped up.
Everton have been leaking goals lately and only have one clean sheet to their name so far. Over the season their defensive stats have been mediocre. They have conceded 93 Shots (12th), 60 Shots in the Box (12h), 36 Shots on Target (15th), and 16 Big Chances (17th). They also have conceded 14 goals (17th). As I said earlier I can see Everton winning this one but also see Fulham scoring too and Mitrovic will be the one most likely involved.
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