In this edition of Breaking the FPL Template Gameweek 22, @Hibbo_FPL examines chip strategy, James Maddison and Harry Kane for upcoming Double Gameweek 22.
This article will provide FPL tips to help managers break the template and achieve that desired top 10k finish. All data used is courtesy of the Hub’s OPTA Stats tool.
Chip Strategy: Breaking The FPL Template Gameweek 22
The impact of Covid has, in the short term, removed the planning element of FPL with the landscape changing by the minute and hour. Post deadline fixture cancellations have brought swings of variance impacting our fantasy squads in very different ways.
We are not all in the same boat, as owners of an Everton triple-up in Double Gameweek 21 can testify. To decide on chip strategy we need a count of Double Gameweek 22 assets in the top 10k field.
When injured players and non-playing options are removed from the sample, ownership of Double Gameweek assets averages roughly 3.5 players before transfers. Ownership of popular assets like Cristiano Ronaldo (£12.5m), Emmanuel Dennis (£6.1m), Josh King (£5.8m), and favourable single fixture players could be enough to survive.
Given the current state of flux in the Premier League, my advice would be to free hit only in dire straits. Holders on both free hit chips could gain a significant advantage in navigating both upcoming Blank Gameweek 27 & 30.
James Maddison: Breaking The FPL Template Gameweek 22
James Maddison (£6.9m) has successfully auditioned for Leicester City’s Double Gameweek 22 with four goals and five assists over his last six matches. In terms of goal threat volume, Maddison excels ranking amongst midfielders second for shots (21) behind only fantasy powerhouse Mohamed Salah (£12.8m).
Leicester City are currently without a recognised striker with injuries to Jamie Vardy (£10.4m) and Patson Daka (£7.1m) while Kelechi Iheanacho (£6.9m) has travelled to the African Cup of Nations. Maddison can certainly fill the striker void demonstrating an elite level of shot accuracy ranking amongst midfielders joint-third for shots on target (10) over the last six.
In terms of distribution, over the last six matches amongst midfielders joint-sixth for chances created (12) and big chances created (3). Maddison boasts a majority share of dead-balls ranking among all midfielders fifth for corners (23) over the period.
Leicester City’s Fixtures: Breaking The FPL Template Gameweek 22
In terms of fixtures, the Foxes rank joint-tenth on Hub’s fixture ticker over the next six when sorted by attack. In the immediate Double Gameweek 22 fixture Leicester City host a Spurs side defensively much-improved under Antonio Conte ranking joint-first for clean sheets (4) over the last six.
The Foxes relish an away to Turf Moor with Burnley ranking over the last six worst for shots conceded (109). Furthermore, the Clarets are conceding chances from proximity ranking third-worst for shots conceded in the box (65) over the period.
Leicester faces Brighton and West Ham respectively in favourable Gameweek 23 and 25 fixtures with outstanding matches against Everton and Norwich yet to be rescheduled. These more favourable fixtures are punctuated by an increasingly difficult schedule with away trips to Liverpool, Wolves and Chelsea over the period.
Harry Kane: Breaking The FPL Template Gameweek 22
Harry Kane (£12.2m) has seen a recent uptick in output with three goals over his last six league matches. In terms of goal threat, Harry Kane ranks among forwards first for shots (25) and shots on target (11) over the period.
In terms of chance proximity, Kane ranks second among forwards over the last six for shots in the box (17). Furthermore, in terms of chance quality, the England marksman ranks joint-third among forwards over the period for big chances (7).
While Spurs’ and Kane will feel the absence of Heung Min-Son (£10.7m) undoubtedly Kane will become the sole focal point in the attack. Over the last six, Kane has ranked among forwards third for penalty area touches (40) and I expect this number to boost significantly in the South Korean’s absence.
Spurs Fixtures: Breaking The FPL Template Gameweek 22
In terms of fixtures, Spurs rank joint-eighth on Hub’s fixture ticker over the next six when sorted by attack. In the upcoming Double Gameweek 22, Spurs travel to face an injury troubled Leicester City side who have been porous defensively.
Over the last six matches, the Foxes rank third-worst for shots conceded (95) and second-worst for shots in the box conceded (71). Worryingly, Brendan Rodgers’ men rank worst in the division over the period for big chances conceded (21) and attempts conceded from set-plays (37).
Spurs’ face a tougher prospect in Arsenal who rank third-best for shots in the box conceded (28) and big chances conceded (7) over the last six. Tough away trips to Chelsea and Man City in Gameweek 23 & 26 respectively punctuate a decent run for Tottenham.
Over the period, home ties against Southampton and Wolves hold significant appeal while a trip to Leeds in Gameweek 27 appears conducive to attacking returns. It is noteworthy that Spurs have two favourable outstanding fixtures away to both Burnley and Brighton yet to be rescheduled.
Conclusion: Breaking The FPL Template Gameweek 22
During this period flux, FPL managers should expect the unexpected and weather the storm in the hope that covid impacts the league less in the future months. My advice is, where possible, hold your free hit chip this week if you can field five or more double gameweek players with transfers.
Both James Maddison and Harry Kane represent hot differentials at the elite top 10k level with sub 10% ownership. Adding one of this duo to a solid core of highly owned double gameweek players and preserving your free hit chip is the advised rank boosting play.
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