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            <p>This season I’m going to write a few more article around the Sky Fantasy Football game - these are mainly going to be some observations from an analytical view point that aid my thought process.</p>
<p>The articles will mainly be around the time of TV fixture announcements (and at the overhaul).</p>
<p>Check out my piece from last week, where I set out how last year's Sky game could be won <a href="https://www.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/how-to-win-sky-fantasy-football-without-using-any-transfers-carl-weeks">without making a single transfer</a>!</p>
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<li><a href="https://www.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/my-team" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/my-team&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1659431953294000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2MAONGwXqwlFlba8QpuknO"><strong>Get a personalised rating for your FPL squad and see how many points it could score in Gameweek 1 with our brand new My Team feature</strong></a></li>
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<li><strong>By the way, if you <a href="https://www.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/join" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/join&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1659431953294000&amp;usg=AOvVaw36hZ-N4TOZ8o6Q7yl7pak-">join Fantasy Football Hub today</a>, you'll get 50% off. If you play FPL, you can get your money back if you don't win your FPL mini-league. No, seriously. <a href="https://www.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/terms-and-conditions" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/terms-and-conditions&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1659431953294000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1DIz1KEj5TTLW5E-fcYCWf">Terms apply</a>.</strong></li>
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<h2><strong>Team goals and clean sheets</strong></h2>
<p>Before I look at any players or prices, it’s useful to have an idea of how many goals and clean sheets each team will generate.</p>
<p>Based on information from FiveThirtyEight and spread betting companies, I estimate the following to the first overhaul.</p>
<p>G = goals and CS = clean sheets.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter wp-image-47846 size-medium" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/08/Pic-1-145x300.png" alt="" width="145" height="300" /></p>
<p>There is nothing in the order of teams that jumps out and says 'I never expected a team to be this high (or low)' but I think Newcastle will be in the top half.</p>
<p>It is worth noting how many more goals and clean sheets the top-two teams achieve compared to the mid-table teams.</p>
<h2><strong>Past player performance</strong></h2>
<p>To have an idea of good-value players, I produce a top 10 point-scorers (what they scored last season) for each position with a key statistic of points per million per game played.</p>
<p>In previous seasons, I set a gold standard of 0.7 pts/£/g and highlighted players in yellow who achieved this standard.</p>
<p>Please note that these are points scored last season and not adjusted for positional changes or changes to the scoring system with man of the match being removed.</p>
<p><img class="alignnone wp-image-47847 size-full" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/08/pic-2.png" alt="" width="611" height="468" /></p>
<p>The top-seven goalkeeper point scorers all reached the gold standard and most of the top point-scoring defenders also reached this benchmark.</p>
<p>Only <b>Mohamed Salah (£11.7m) </b>reached this mark from the attacking players.</p>
<p>I also look at the positions with the top 10 based on highest pts/£/g, which may highlight cheap value players or players that missed a large part of the season due to injury or being bought in January.</p>
<p>You need to use your football knowledge when looking at these players, as some score well but are only likely to play limited minutes.</p>
<p>For example <strong>Nathan Ake (£8.0m)</strong> scores well when he played for Manchester City but most of the time he didn’t play, so shouldn’t come into your thinking for a season-long selection.</p>
<p><img class="alignnone wp-image-47848 size-full" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/08/pic-3.png" alt="" width="618" height="439" /></p>
<p>Three players who jump out at me from these tables are <strong>David Raya (£6.7m)</strong> the Brentford goalkeeper, who missed a large amount of time injured last season and looks great value.</p>
<p><strong>Bruno Guimaraes (£8.3m)</strong>, who Newcastle bought in January, hit the ground running last season and is fourth on this metric.</p>
<p>The third name is <strong>Rodri (£9.1m)</strong> who is just under the gold standard but second on this metric and relatively cheap compared to other midfielders.</p>
<h2><strong>Best formation</strong></h2>
<p>Based on last year’s points, I plot the average number of  points versus value for each player by position and produce a line that best represents the trend of the data.</p>
<p>The lines for each position are shown in the graph below:</p>
<p><img class="alignnone wp-image-47849 size-full" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/08/pic4.png" alt="" width="646" height="349" /></p>
<p>After around £7m, the red line (representing defenders) is above the lines for both midfielders and strikers, suggesting it is better to have five defenders.</p>
<p>Also, the red line is steeper than the other lines, suggesting it is better to have five expensive defenders rather than five cheap ones.</p>
<p>The green line (midfielders) is higher and steeper than strikers, so any remaining budget should be invested in midfield rather than strikers.</p>
<p>This is just a guide to a good formation. If you find a mispriced player then you should adjust accordingly.</p>
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<p><strong><em>To view Carl's Gameweek 1 Sky teams, sign up to the Hub now!</em></strong></p>
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