Fantasy Premier League tips each Gameweek from 4-time top 1k finisher Abdul Rehman. Abdul uses the Hub’s OPTA stats tool to share the best FPL players and top tips for Gameweek 3.

Gameweek 2 was one for the FPL history books. With 44 goals scored over the 10 games (average of 4.4 goals a game), there were some monster scores. Heung-Min Son’s four goals were the highlight of the week and would have broken a lot of hearts, as over half a million managers got rid of him before Gameweek 2. Other popular players such as Calvert-Lewin, James Rodriguez, Harry Kane, Alexsandar Mitrović and Kevin De Bruyne also hauled giving us plenty to think about for the weeks ahead.

Moving on we will now look at the best players and top tips for Gameweek 3 and here’s hoping there are as much goals (or more) as there were last Gameweek.

Reece James (£5.1m) – Chelsea

Fixture: West Brom (a)

The young Chelsea full-back helped himself to a goal and assist in Gameweek 1 helping himself to 14 points for the week. Although he blanked in Gameweek 2, it was against Liverpool and they only conceded when they went down to 10 men. A pleasant surprise for owners would be the fact that he now seems to be on corners and seems to be good at them too as his corner was bundled in from Kurt Zouma against the Seagulls in Gameweek 1 earning him an assist.

With a fixture against West Brom, he will have chances to score points from both ends of the pitch. Chelsea are favourites to keep a clean sheet in Gameweek 3 according to bookmakers (46%) and with James he has a chance of returns from clean sheets, goals, and assists. Furthermore, West Brom have had the fewest Shots in the Box (5) in the league, despite Aston Villa and Burnley playing a game less, and have racked up a grand total of 0 Big Chances in the first two games. They also have the lowest xG (0.94) of all the teams who have played twice in the league. Defensively they have also been one of the worst – conceding the most Shots in the Box (24), the most Shots on Target (14), and the most Big Chances (8). It’s no surprise they have conceded eight goals in their first two games – again more than any team in the league.

I think it’s fair to say this will probably be one of Chelsea’s most favourable fixtures this season and should provide the young English full-back ample opportunity for returns at both ends of the pitch.

Gameweek 3

Reece James’ Stats

Mohamed Salah (£12.1m) – Liverpool

Fixture: Arsenal (H)

The Egyptian proved all his doubters wrong again with his hattrick in Gameweek 1. He blanked in Gameweek 2 against Chelsea however he did have his chances. In the first two games he has registered the most Shots, (13), Shots in the Box (10) and second most Shots on Target (4). Statistically, Salah is still showing elite numbers and with another home tie against Arsenal in Gameweek 3 he is again a prime captain contender. Looking at Arsenal’s defensive numbers last season they were very lucky to only concede 48 goals. They had an xGC (expected goals conceded) rate of 63.48 which shows they over performed by around 15 goals. They also conceded 77 Big Chances which was 10th worst in the league and the worst out of the ‘top six’. This season they have left off where they finished last season really in terms of being quite fortunate not to concede more. Even with two favourable fixtures to start with in Fulham (a) and West Ham United (H) they had an xGC of 1.88, and conceded three Big Chances yet only conceded one goal. With Liverpool’s potent attack and Salah’s form and stats I think he is a much better option than it looks on paper. Furthermore, Liverpool have had the most Shots in the Box (27), most Big Chances (6), most xG (5.08), and second-most Shots on Target (12) in the first two games. I think it’s fair to say Liverpool should score a few at least and with an xGI (expected goal involvement) of 56% in the first two Gameweeks, it’s likely the Egyptian King will be amongst the points.

Fantasy Premier League Tips Gameweek 3

Mohamed Salah’s Stats

 

Heung-Min Son (£9.0m) – Tottenham

Fixture: Newcastle United

I couldn’t leave the Tottenham midfielder out after scoring four goals and a monster 24 points, especially with a home tie with Newcastle United next. In the first two Gameweeks Son registered six shots, five Shots on Target and five Shots in the Box. Four of each of the mentioned shots was in his game Gameweek 2 tie with Southampton which just showed how clinical he was that day. Of course this level of conversion is unsustainable but it will no doubt do his confidence the world of good and you would imagine he will get a fair few chances against the Toon’s defence. It doesn’t look like they have been the worst team defensively though in the first two Gameweeks only conceding two Big Chances which is the second best in the league and with only 16 Shots conceded in the box and nine Shots on Target they rank in the top five for both these metrics.

However, looking at their opposition in those games, West Ham United (a) and Brighton (H), tells us these numbers aren’t as good as they initially seem. They haven’t really faced the quality of players in the Spurs team and furthermore, been convincingly beaten three goals to nil in Gameweek 2 by Brighton at St James Park does not bode well. Tottenham Hotspur have created the most Big Chances (6), and third most Shots on Target (11) so it looks like another high scoring game could be on the cards for the North London side and with Son’s recent heroics he will be brimming with confidence and eager to put Newcastle to the sword.

Heung-Min Son’s Stats

Harry Kane (£10.5m) – Tottenham

Fixture: Newcastle United

The England and Spurs captain also had a game to remember in Gameweek 2, assisting all four of his South-Korean teammate’s goals and also grabbing one himself, amassing a 21 point haul. He played the role of creator really well, exposing Southampton’s high line and was clearly instructed to play this way by Jose Mourinho. To put his assists into context, he only got two in the whole of last season so he doubled his tally in just one game. Although his owners would prefer goals it will be comforting for them to see he also has this side to his game. I don’t see him playing this role all too often going forward and we can expect to see him play further forward.

His attacking stats haven’t been too impressive in the first two Gameweeks and has been overshadowed by most of his rivals and indeed his aforementioned team mate. Comparing him to Son via our Comparison Tool we can see the Korean has superior stats trumping him in xG (1.73 to 0.65), Big Chances (3 to 1), Shots in the Box (5 to 3), and Shots on Target (5 to 2). Harry Kane does beat him in Big Chances Created (4 to 1) however three of them came in the last games 5-2 win over the Saints which inflates it a bit. Saying this though I do expect Kane to pick up on his attacking metrics and output. He is a proven goal scorer and with him being on penalties he will have chances to score every Gameweek.

FPL GW3

Heung-Min Son Vs Harry Kane Comparison

 

Kevin De Bruyne (£11.6m) – Manchester City

Fixture: Leicester City (H)

The Belgian got off to the 2019/20 season with a bang grabbing a goal, assist and maximum bonus points (13 points in total) in City’s first game back against Wolves at Molineux in which they won fairly comfortably in the end by three goals to one. After blanking in Gameweek 1, they faced probably one of their toughest games of the season on paper away from home to one the best defences in the league. Manchester City were so dominant for large parts of the game they reminded us fantasy managers how good they actually are and the quality they possess in all positions. In that one match alone De Bruyne managed four Shots in the Box and two on Target and six Key Passes (3rd). These are impressive numbers against any team let alone against one of the most resolute defences in the Premier League.

With a home tie against Leicester next and with him now on penalties it would take a very brave fantasy manager to go without him. Although The Foxes sit top of the league just now and boast a fairly good defensive record, I do believe Manchester City are fixture proof and are capable of blowing over any team in the world on their day. The Belgian has already risen in price and is likely to rise again before the Gameweek 3 deadline so he will be highly owned too. Along with Salah this week I think he is the best captain option and I have already bought him into my team.

Premier League Fantasy Football Tips

Kevin De Bruyne’s Stats

Timo Werner (£9.5m) – Chelsea

Fixture: West Brom (a)

The German forward hasn’t had the start he would have liked in the Premier League however looking at his stats and how he has been playing I don’t think owners should be too worried. He has been a bit of a menace in the box winning two penalties in two games and his last game was against Liverpool in which they played half the game with 10 men. In those games, he has had six shots, with five Shots in the Box and 12 touches in the box (3rd) which shows he is getting in the right areas and getting chances. He now faces West Brom, who as stated earlier have the worst defensive numbers in the league thus far, conceding the most Shots in the Box (24), the most Shots on Target (14), the most Big Chances (8) and most goals conceded (8). He won’t get a better chance to get off the mark than in Gameweek 3 and with the quality he has around him and his career goal-scoring record of 157 goals in 225 games you wouldn’t bet against him. I am predicting he gets at least a goal against The Baggies. Our Points Prediction Tool agrees and has him at 50% to score anytime (3rd) and also at 65% (2nd) for anytime returns.

FPL Tips Gameweek 3

Timo Werner’s Stats

Ones to watch

A few players who caught my eye in Gameweek 2 and are great options for Gameweek 3 are:

  1. Gabriel Jesus (£9.1m) – three Shots on Target, two Shots in the box, and one goal. (6 points)
  2. Raheem Sterling (£11.5m) – one Shot on Target, one shot in the box, and one assist (5 points)
  3. Alexsandar Mitrović (£6.0m) – Six shots, four Shots on Target, four Shots in the Box, two Big Chances, and two goals (12 points)
  4. Daniel Podence (£5.5m) – two shots, one Shot in the Box, two Key Passes, and one assist (5 points)
  5. Phil Foden (£6.5m) – two shots in the Box, one Shot on Target and one goal (9 points)
Top 4 Best Players

Ones to Watch Comparison

 

FPL Tips Gameweek 3

Gameweek 3 Fixtures

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