Gameweek 3 was another crazy Gameweek with more twists and turns than a Christopher Nolan movie. Another hattrick was scored this time by Jamie Vardy (£10.0m) making that three in a row with Mohammed Salah (£12.1) and Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.4m) the hattrick heroes in Gameweek 1 and Gameweek 2 respectively.
Gameweek 4 seems looks to have some tantalising fixtures for a number of teams so I think we should all be prepared for another rollercoaster of a weekend. Read on and I will pick the two best players from each outfield position and some top tips for Gameweek 4.
Let’s have a quick look at the fixtures first. As you can see there is a plethora of tasty fixtures for Gameweek 4. Chelsea, Everton, Leicester City, Manchester City, Wolves, Arsenal, Liverpool and even Southampton all genuinely have great fixtures. Only the Newcastle vs Burnley and Manchester United vs Spurs game look tricky. Therefore it’s going to be a tough ask picking a select bunch of players for Gameweek 4 with so many good options available
Looking at our Fixture Ticker for Gameweek 4 only we can see the ratings by difficulty so we will target some of the teams at the top of the list here.
Timothy Castagne (£5.7m) – Leicester City
Fixture: West Ham United (H)
Timothy Castagne has got off to an absolute flyer in his debut season in the Premier League. He has registered attacking returns in every single one of his three fixtures, picking up a goal and three assists in total (27 points). He is currently the top-scoring defender and has two plum games in West Ham United (H) and Aston Villa (H) next. Leicester have been fairly solid at the back in this season and despite playing Manchester City at the Etihad have only conceded four goals. They have conceded 20 Shots in the Box, 11 Shots on Target and four Big Chances, however, six of the Shots in the Box, five Shots on Target, and two Big Chances were all conceded in their Gameweek 3 game against Man City where they were playing the counter and inviting the pressure so their defensive stats are not as bad as they seem. With the Belgian full-back, he has the chance to get both defensive and attacking returns.
Roman Saiss (£5.1m) – Wolves
Fixture: Fulham (H)
Wolves have the best chance of a clean sheet this week according to bookies (50%) and our Points Prediction Tool agrees. From the Wolves defenders, the Moroccan has the best attacking stats. He scored a goal in their opening game against the Blades and has managed three Shots in the Box and two Shots on Target in his first three games. He was also their most attacking defender after Matt Doherty (£5.9m) last season too with 24 Shots, 18 Shots in the Box eight Shots on Target and seven Big Chances.
Fulham haven’t been the worst team offensively so far but they are heavily reliant on one player – Aleksandar Mitrovic (£6.0m). Without him, you would struggle to see where their goals are going to come from and as we know Wolves are a very strong side defensively. I know they got beat badly last Gameweek in a 4-0 drubbing by West Ham United but I thought this was a really out of character performance. If we look at their defensive stats for the whole of last season they kept 13 clean sheets (3rd), had a xGC of only 41.51 (3rd), and conceded only 49 Big Chances (1st). In other words, they are one of the best defences in the league and they have one of their best fixtures of the season. Again I feel like Saiss has the opportunity to score points both defensively and offensively.
Mohamed Salah (£12.1m) – Liverpool
Fixture: Aston Villa (a)
Mohamed Salah leads the way in attacking stats so far and is also the highest-scoring midfielder. In the first three Gameweeks, he has managed 17 Shots (1st), 13 Shots in the Box (1st) and five Shots on Target (3rd). Liverpool play an in-form Aston Villa side who are yet to concede a goal and actually have the lowest xGC (1.56) in the league so far. It’s important to note though that their fixtures have been quite favourable playing Sheffield United (H) and Fulham (a) and they have played a game less than most teams. Therefore I think this inflates their stats a bit and really don’t see them holding Liverpool back even if they do sit back.
The Reds have been the best attacking wise by quite a distance. So far they have scored 9 goals (2nd) with 61 Shots (1st), 39 Shots in the Box (1st), 20 Shots on Target (2nd), and 10 Big Chances (1st). They have been putting teams to the sword and their fixtures haven’t exactly been easy playing Leeds (H), Chelsea (a), and Arsenal (H) in the first three. One thing I noticed about Salah’s numbers this season is his assist threat seems to have increased a lot. I know there have only been three games played but he already has the most Key Passes (11) in the league and is fourth for xA (1.31). Considering he only achieved 61 Key Passes last season and 68 in 2018-19 that is quite an increase. It’s one to monitor but if he can add even more assists to his goals he could be on for his best ever tally. He is also the most likely to score anytime in Gameweek 4 according to the bookies (57%) and in our Points Prediction Tool (50%) and the Egyptian also sits top for expected points (7.1).
Kevin De Bruyne (£11.6m) – Manchester City
Fixture: Leeds United (a)
The Belgian was the top scorer in FPL last season and is now in over 43% of managers teams. Now although Manchester City don’t have the best game on paper in comparison to other teams they are too good to ignore especially De Bruyne. Yes, they had an off day against Leicester City but I don’t see that performance being the norm. He managed to get a goal, assist and maximum bonus points (13 points) in his first match against Wolves away which is a very tricky fixture. He now plays Leeds United who have been leaking chances and goals. They kept a clean sheet against Sheffield United in Gameweek 3 but were quite fortunate to not concede and they conceded seven goals in their first two games. They have actually conceded the second-most Big Chances (8) second-most xGC (6.74) and Shots in the Box (33). Now considering two of their first three games were against Sheffield United who are yet to score in the Premier League, with the second team being Fulham, these are quite worrying stats. Now they come up against a wounded Man City team who will be eager to bounce back and no doubt De Bruyne will be involved in some way or another. With him being on penalties also he is too good an option to ignore.
Danny Ings (£8.4m) – Southampton
Fixture: West Brom
Danny Ings has started the season just as he finished the last. The clinical Saints striker has scored three goals in his first three games picking up 22 points in total. We now know he is also the number one penalty taker which makes him an even better pick than first assumed, especially with the rate of penalties we have seen given this season. His goals this season have actually come in fairly difficult fixtures in Spurs (H) and Burnley (a) so with West Brom up next his owners will be licking their lips.
Defensively The Baggies have the worst defence in the league to date. They have conceded the most goals (11), Big Chances (11), Shots (52), Shots on Target (24), Shots in the Box (34) and even have the worst xGC (8.64). They have even conceded the most Shots from Set Pieces (5). They come out bottom for every single vital defensive metric. That’s not all, as they have had the least Shots (22), Shots in the Box (10), Big Chances (1), and least xG (1.82). Again they come out worst in the league offensively too.
It’s no wonder Southampton are top of our Fixture ticker and it looks like there should be points for the Saints’ attacking and defensive assets. This will probably be the best fixture for Danny Ings in the season and I would honestly say he is a shout for the captains armband for your FPL team too.
Raul Jimenez (£8.6m) – Wolves
The Mexican forward is another one who has got off to a decent start this season. He is a proven FPL asset, scoring over 180 points in his first two seasons totalling 30 goals and 17 assists. He managed to notch in his first two fixtures which were not the easiest in Sheffield United (a) and Manchester City (H). We shouldn’t be surprised though as he proved last season to be a big game player scoring against the likes of Manchester City, Liverpool, Spurs and Arsenal. They were convincingly beaten 4-0 by West Ham in Gameweek 3 in which Jimenez managed to score an unfortunate own goal but this was a one off performance from them as I mentioned earlier. Despite his tough opening fixtures, he has still been putting up good numbers with four Shots on Target, nine Shots in the Box and three Big Chances. He has also got the second-highest xGI (86%) so far.
With a fixture up against Fulham (H) next he is a great attacking option for Gameweek 4. Being on penalties and up against a promoted side who have conceded 10 goals (2nd most in league) and second-most Big Chances Conceded he is primed for a big haul.
Good luck in Gameweek 4!