FPL Gameweek 10 fixtures: Clean-sheet odds, goalscoring potential and players to target

Fantasy Football Hub's resident captaincy expert Chris Tan takes a close look at the Gameweek 10 fixtures and the players to target for your Fantasy Premier League (FPL) teams.

Chris's weekly captain pieces last season included his brilliant insight into the fixtures, highlighting teams' zonal weaknesses, clean-sheet odds, sides most likely to score two or more goals and much more.

This in-depth look at the matches ahead, complete with a handy shortlist of players to target, will be available exclusively to Hub members.

Chris's verdict on the best Gameweek 10 captaincy options and punts will be available later this week.

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Chris Tan's Gameweek 10 fixture analysis

Last week, we called that Luis Diaz (£7.5m) would cause Everton a lot of problems.

We advised FPL managers to hold Bryan Mbeumo (£6.8m) for Burnley.

We also noted Crystal Palace were fortunate not to have conceded more based on their expected goals conceded (xGC), that Anthony Gordon (£5.6m) could expoit their weak right-hand side (which he did and should have twice) and Newcastle corrected that.

This week, many of you are on the wildcard or facing some tough transfer decisions. Captaincy is also very open, which I will look over later in the week. This fixture analysis will aid you with your dilemmas.

FPL Gameweek 10 fixtures

FPL Gameweek 10: Clean sheet and goalscoring odds

Arsenal, Aston Villa, Liverpool and Brighton are the most likely to score two or more goals, according to the odds.

They also lead the way for chances of a clean sheet - barring Brighton - followed by Chelsea.

FPL Gameweek 10: Team attacking stats (sorted by xG)

 

FPL Gameweek 10: Team defensive stats (sorted by xGC)

FPL Gameweek 10 fixtures analysed

Crystal Palace v Tottenham Hotspur

Spurs sit at the summit of the league and could go five points clear before the others get a chance to play. With one game a week, as long as they keep their main stars fit they could go all the way.

Palace came crashing down to earth against Newcastle. We did note that there was quite a difference between their goals conceded and xGC but Newcastle are ruthless at home and Palace are the home side this time.

Spurs have won the last three matches against Palace. Last season, the results were 1-0 and 0-4. Harry Kane scored three and Son Heung-min (£9.5m) got one.

Spurs have a slight disadvantage, as they play their Gameweek 9 fixture on Monday night and this game is on Friday night, which only leaves them three full days to recover.

Additional factors to consider

Spurs' xG is solid and they’re averaging just under two goals per game.

Palace are now ranked as the fifth-worst defence after their thrashing from Newcastle and their goals conceded is still below their xGC, so there could be more to come.

Their main weakness appears to be chances conceded on their right, as exposed by Gordon last week. That is no longer Son’s domain and should be occupied by either Richarlison (£6.7m) or Brennan Johnson (£5.8m).

Palace are known for setting up with a deep block but you may be surprised to discover their average defensive line is higher than Villa’s and similar to teams like Liverpool and Brighton.

Another thing that was noticeable at the weekend is that if Palace concede an early goal, the floodgates could open as they lack a plan B.

Outcome

Palace will put up a lot of resistance at home and the turnaround is short for Spurs but I think they’ll find a way to narrowly win this one.

 

Chelsea v Brentford