This article takes a deep dive look at the all important Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 21 captain decision. It's written by our resident FPL captaincy expert Chris Tan who takes a close look at the fixtures, poll and stats breakdown before concluding on his best pick for the armband.
FPL Gameweek 20 Captain Recap
Before we delve into the FPL Gameweek 21 Captain Decision, it’s important to cast our eye back to last week.
Bournemouth continued their mini slump with Brighton picking up a clean sheet (CS) and Mooy staking a claim for our budget midfield slot. Continuing with the budget theme, Dominic Calvert-Lewin is another that is forcing us to pay attention, as Everton start to gather momentum under Ancelotti. Ings scored again as Southampton held Palace to a draw. Deeney is loving life under Pearson as Watford shut out an abject Villa. Spurs look to have gone back in time with another shaky performance saved by Eriksen and Kane. Leicester’s B Team end Pellegrini’s reign, will Moyes improve things? Finally, Burnley rolled over and United comfortably beat them with goals from Martial and Rashford.
Several of us started the day on a worryingly low points total. Aubameyang continued his consistent run of goals but Chelsea had too much for Arsenal with a welcome return to goal scoring for Abraham. Wolves, minus their star players, made life very difficult for Liverpool with further VAR controversy, but it was Mane who scored the winning goal and Alexander-Arnold who did well on the bonus points for this one. Lastly, Sheffield Utd really tested a fatigued Man City who struggled over the line with an Aguero goal and another De Bruyne masterclass.
Who did I tip?
This was a week where there wasn’t an obvious captain choice and quite a few options did well:
Vardy (0) – his wife gave birth and he earned a well deserved night off. Similar to Gameweek six a lot of people set their VC on De Bruyne and were duly rewarded. For the games over this period it’s crucial to select a VC that is highly likely to play with so much rotation going on.
Salah (3) and Mane (11) – I got the wrong guy (I don’t own Mane), although I did indicate in the player history that Salah has only returned away from home against Wolves previously whereas Mane’s returns have all come at home. It looks like that trend has continued.
Kane (8) and Alli (2) – Kane continued his impressive run with Alli unfortunate to not come away with a return.
Tammy (7) – a well deserved winning goal that should do wonders for his confidence after a mini slump and he worked hard all game.
What did we learn?
Liverpool CS are back – that’s four in a row now with the first half of the season putting them way behind their expected CS total it looks like things are starting to revert to the mean now.
Strikers get bonus – the top players for bonus appear to be strikers at the moment which adds a bit more weight to captaining them over midfielders despite their additional CS and goal point.
Expect rotation – this is the last fixture of this intense period; I would expect more rotation and it’s vital to have a playing bench.
FPL Gameweek 21 Captain - The Fixtures
Brighton v Chelsea – Brighton look to be fairly solid at home and it won’t be easy to break them down. Their aerial threat and direct play will be difficult to defend too. Chelsea seem to do better away from home at the moment and this should be a close one.
Burnley v Aston Villa – Burnley rolled over against United and Dyche will be expecting a far different response here. Villa look pretty awful at the moment, their opposition know that if they stop Grealish that nullifies the attack and this could be the end of the road for Smith.
Newcastle v Leicester – Newcastle put up a good display against Everton but were narrowly beaten and although they’ll have a go at Leicester, I don’t think they’ll get very far, especially when you consider they rested their main men. I fully expect a Vardy baby celebration.
Southampton v Spurs – Southampton haven’t kept a CS at home all season and I can see that trend continuing. Jose knows that they need three points from games like this if they are to have any chance of sneaking top four.
Watford v Wolves – a repeat of last season’s semi final and the games between these two sides are often very close. Watford are on a great run under Pearson and Wolves are just so hard to beat. Fatigue might take its toll on the Wolves side though and I can see this being a draw.
Man City v Everton – Pep made a sarcastic comment about being given three days rest and the team did look leggy against Sheffield Utd. Everton look good under Ancelotti and this should be a close encounter, but I think City will edge it.
Norwich v Crystal Palace – Norwich have looked good recently and were unlucky against Spurs. Palace are hard to beat and I expect a cagey affair.
West Ham v Bournemouth – this should be an interesting one, as Moyes won’t have enough time to do much with the squad and it’s unclear whether he’ll actually create much of a bounce. Bournemouth are very flat at the moment too.
Arsenal v Man Utd – Arsenal looked a lot better organised against Chelsea and they appear to be operating a full press, which is great news for United who will be looking to hit them on the break.
Liverpool v Sheff Utd – Sheffield Utd are a very tough side to beat when they’re away from home, but Liverpool are a machine and will do it and they’ll probably keep another CS.
Twitter FPL Gameweek 21 Captain Poll
Who do our twitter followers think is the best FPL Gameweek 21 captain?
Old Hunting Ground – do any of the likely lads have a good history vs their opposition?
Alli – has had a bit of a quiet spell lately, but he has an impressive record against Southampton with three goals and two assists away from home. For those worried about a rest, the three days between fixtures should be sufficient with their FA Cup game not until the Sunday.
Kane – has gone largely unnoticed but with a goal in each of his last games, he’s on decent form. He’s racked up four goals and an assist away from home, which suggests he enjoys playing against Southampton.
Ings – on the opposing side, Ings has a 100% record for Southampton against Spurs. When you factor in his form and the Spurs defence I expect that to continue.
Rashford – with four returns in five starts he looks like a great option, however he hasn’t returned away from home against Arsenal yet.
Vardy – has a great record against Newcastle but only two of his goals have been scored away from home.
Members Stats breakdown - FPL Gameweek 21 Captain
These stats are pulled from the Fantasy Football Hub OPTA Stats tool that is available to all members to help you analyse all players and teams. I have pulled the specific data from the respective home and away games dependant on the fixtures.
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