Fantasy Premier League Double Gameweek 35 transfer tips and differentials series from @FPLTIPZ where he scours the FPL market for low-owned players with the potential to pick up big points to help shoot you up the rankings. Each week he uses our OPTA stats tool to pick out three players for the coming five Gameweeks for consideration for your FPL transfer who are currently under 10% owned from a variety of price points and teams.
Double Gameweek 35 FPL Differentials
The upcoming Double Gameweek 35 opens up the opportunity for some good differentials to help Fantasy Premier League managers get a boost going into the final Gameweeks of the season.
The Defender Differential – Lucas Digne – £6.1m, 9.2% owned
The defender differential selected is Lucas Digne of Everton priced at £6.1m and just 9.2% owned. So far this season Digne has the highest assists per start of any defender with 0.36 compared to 0.32 of Cresswell in second and 0.24 of Coufal in third.
This has been a season long trend but Digne has also shown good form in recent weeks ranking second for expected points from attacking returns for defenders over the last 10 Gameweeks with 0.8 per start just behind Coufal of West Ham with 0.9.
The reason for this potential is Digne has been playing at wing back in some matches, attacking high up the left wing as well as taking some corners and indirect free kicks for Everton. This has meant that Digne has put in more crosses this season than all of the other Everton players combined which indicates that Digne has the best potential for attacking returns on top of the clean sheet points the French defender could get in the upcoming Double Gameweek.
Between now and the end of the season, Everton have the fifth best run of fixtures from a defensive point as well as having a double Gameweek in Gameweek 35. This includes away matches against Aston Villa and West Ham.
However, the fact these two fixtures are away may benefit Everton as this season, Everton have one of the worst defensive record at home with 1.59 goals conceded per game and just 0.12 clean sheets per match at home.
Away from home the Toffees have conceded less than one match per game with 0.94 and have the fourth best clean sheet record with 0.44 clean sheets per away match only behind Manchester City, Aston Villa and Arsenal.
This shows that in Double Gameweek 35 alone, Digne could be a good differential. On top of this, after this Double Gameweek, Everton go on to play Sheffield United and Wolves at home, two of the bottom three for goals scored so far this season, before travelling to Manchester City for the final game of the season.
The Midfielder Differential – Wilfried Zaha – £7.1m, 9.0% owned
Gameweek 35 sees a Double Gameweek where on paper Crystal Palace have the best combination of fixtures. Out of the Crystal Palace players, Zaha always stands out as the most attacking and best asset and is now just 9.0% owned and priced at £7.1m.
So far this season Zaha has returned 10 goals from 24 starts, four more than Benteke in second as well having four assists, only second to Eze with five. Using the Hub’s OPTA stats tool, Zaha ranks second for Shots per Game and Shots Inside the Box per game, both only behind Belgian forward Christian Benteke (£5.5m).
As well as this Zaha ranks first for both expected goals per start as well as first for expected assists per game amongst Crystal Palace players with a combined total of 0.45 per start.
Finally, Zaha has a goal involvement of 45% so far this season when starting. Crystal Palace have averaged 1.03 goals per game this season and so with a double Gameweek there could be a good chance Wilfried Zaha gets an attacking return especially given the fixtures.
In Gameweek 35 Crystal Palace have a double Gameweek of Southampton and Sheffield United which is ranked as the best double Gameweek fixture combination using the Hub Fixture Ticker. These two teams sit second and third for goals conceded so far this season and have conceded an average of 1.75 goals or more per game since Gameweek 1.
As well as this, Crystal Palace rank third overall for the best fixtures over the final four Gameweeks of the season from an attacking point of view with matches against Aston Villa, Arsenal and Liverpool following the double Gameweek, three teams who all sit in the bottom half for clean sheets in the last 10 Gameweeks having kept just seven from the last 30 combined matches or 0.23 per game played.
This indicates that investing in Zaha could return good differential points even after the upcoming double Gameweek.
The Forward Differential – Richarlison de Andrade – £7.8m, 8.1% owned
Everton have a strong run of fixtures to end the season including playing five matches in the space of four Gameweeks with a double Gameweek in the upcoming Gameweek 35. This double Gameweek includes West Ham and Aston Villa before Everton go on to play Sheffield United, Wolves and Liverpool.
This ranks as the fourth best fixture run for the final four Gameweeks of the season on the Hub Fixture Ticker. In the past 25 matches combined, these five teams have kept just four clean sheets with only Wolves being able to keep more than one whilst also conceding four goals to Burnley in Gameweek 33.
The forward differential for the double Gameweek is Richarlison of Everton priced at £7.8m and owned by 8.1%. So far this season, Richarlison has returned 107 points with six goals and six assists from 28 starts. However, the Brazilian has an expected points return of 128, second out of all Everton players behind Calvert-Lewin showing there is potential for Richarlison to improve his returns given the recent form shown.
Using the OPTA stats tool, in the last five Gameweeks, amongst forwards, Richarlison ranks fourth for shots overall, third amongst forwards for shots inside the box with 2.6, eighth for big chances created and expected assists per start. This has meant he has the fifth highest expected points total overall for these Gameweeks with 5.3 per start.
Thanks for reading – Feel free to message me any questions – Twitter – @FPLTIPZ