Gameweek 5 Recap

I miss the International Break!  This was one of those frustrating weeks where not many of the usual assets returned, leaving several (myself included) with some shocking scores.  On a week like this the Captaincy can make a massive impact and can be the difference between an awful and decent return.  Sadly it wasn’t to be for Sterling Captainers and I have to consider if there’s something I missed or if it was just one of those weeks.

 

Who did I tip?

Sterling (2) – that’s two blanks in a row now and this was supposed to be a dream fixture against Norwich!  It was a bit of a freak game and fair play to Norwich they really made City pay for their mistakes.  When watching the game I saw Sterling hit the woodwork and nearly rack up two assists so the eye test does correlate with his stats.  Surely he won’t blank again…

Aguero (6) – another goal for the unstoppable Aguero, for those that moved from Sterling to him they’ve capitalised big time.  What’s scary is that this would be classed as a bad week for Aguero, giving him a very high floor to go with his very high ceiling.

Salah (9) – a very solid return although lightly overshadowed by Mane, I expect things to yoyo between them all season.  What stood out in this game was that he picked up two bonus points despite only a single goal, which never usually happens, could this be a sign of things to come?

Auba (13) – what a legend, with Laca out until October anyone that holds Auba is on to a winner.  Even in a game where Arsenal were dominated he was clinical enough to take his chances and demonstrated what a bonus magnet he is.

Ultimately, if you remove Sterling from the above, the tips worked out okay.

 

What did we learn?

Dirty Sheets – currently, clean sheets are few and far between.  Some managers are keeping the faith with their big at the back strategy whereas those that have shifted their monies to the forward assets are already reaping dividends.

Spoilt for choice  – last season we had Jimenez and some premium options.  This season Aguero and Auba are on fire but we also have Tammy, Pukki, Maupay, Barnes, Rashford, Wilson and Haller to choose from.  With this abundance of choice all racking up the points it indicates a structure shift could be prudent.

Whipping Boy – we want to identify the whipping boy so that we know who to target for our Captaincy.  The return of the old Watford Manager appears to have stemmed the flow, so who is it now?  Things are very tight at the moment with the bottom teams all capable of holding their own and surprisingly it’s Wolves that look like the current whipping boys, surely that can’t last, but if they take the Europa seriously it could.  The defensive stats later on should reveal more light on who we should be targeting.

 

Gameweek 6 Captaincy - The Fixtures

 

 

Southampton v Bournemouth – the Gameweek starts with a cheeky South coast derby.  Both teams have hit a bit of form and this should be a close one.

 

Leicester v Spurs – Spurs started to look back to their best last week, but this will be a tough test against a Leicester side that were unlucky not to get more against Man Utd.

 

Burnley v Norwich – I originally pencilled this in as an easy game for Burnley, but the performance against City has made me reconsider this.  With their injury issues (although that probably didn’t make a difference) Norwich will be set up to attack and this will be a tough test for both teams.

 

Everton v Sheffield Utd – Utd are beginning to show a few signs that their initial promotion momentum could be fading and they face a tough test at Everton although they are yet to fully click in attack.  I’d expect an Everton win and possibly a Clean Sheet here, but things haven’t been predictable lately.

 

Man City v Watford – this is a perfect opportunity for City to erase the recent loss out of their memory with the last meeting being a 6-0 FA Cup thrashing.  Watford may be more solid under Flores but that won’t make a difference.  Watford are capable of creating chances though and City without Laporte appear to be prone to mistakes that result in them conceding Big Chances.

 

Newcastle v Brighton – Newcastle are showing some fight under Bruce and Brighton are a decent attacking side.  This should be a tight affair with the Home crowd desperate for some points to get out of the relegation zone.

 

Crystal Palace v Wolves – Palace aren’t that good at Home but Wolves have been shocking this season and they play again on Thursday night, which will leave them fatigued for this game, although at least they’re at Home on Thursday.

 

West Ham v Man Utd – West Ham look a very accomplished side this season with great balance throughout.  Man Utd might have Pogba / Martial back and this should be a competitive game, similar to Wolves they have a Europa game at Home on Thursday but they have a bigger squad and I expect more rotation with Greenwood getting his chance to start.

 

Arsenal v Aston Villa – this should be an interesting one, Arsenal have a great attack but can’t defend whereas Villa have a decent defence but can’t score.  I can’t see Villa stopping Arsenal scoring, but can they return fire?  Arsenal play Away in Germany on Thursday night, but Emery rotates a lot and the main guys should be fairly rested for this one.

 

Chelsea v Liverpool – a cracking super Sunday fixture and hopefully it’s enough to keep Abraham price from rising any further!  Both play on Tuesday night, Chelsea are at Home, which gives them slightly more rest but both teams will be fairly rested.  I don’t think Chelsea have enough to beat Liverpool, they can possibly score but I can’t see them keeping a clean sheet.  Losing Mount will be a big loss for Chelsea but they look more solid with three at the back and they have some quality players.

 

Old Hunting Ground – do any of the likely lads have a good history vs their opposition?

 

Aguero – wow I wanted him before I looked at his record against Watford, now I really wish I had him.  He’s on fire and I expect him to add to his impressive record with four of his goals scored at Home.

Sterling – if you’ve got Sterling instead of Aguero then it looks like you have the next best thing.  Despite his two recent blanks, he’s still one of the highest scorers in the game and it’s only a matter of time before he returns.  He has already racked up five goals and an assist at Home against Watford.

Kane – has an amazing record against Leicester with six goals and an assist picked up Away from Home.  He’s not on amazing form, but at the same time he’s not exactly on bad form with three goals and an assist in five plus his recent International hat trick.  Furthermore, the heat map from his latest game shows that although he has been dropping deep, he is still the most advanced player for Spurs.

KDB – if Aguero and Sterling are going to pick up the goals then here’s the clear favourite to be assisting them.  City looked a different side when he came on and I don’t think Pep will risk leaving him out again.

Son – similar to Kane, he has a very decent record against Leicester and has four goals and an assist Away from Home to them.  He’s also on fire and looks likely to add to his collection.

Mane – has a reasonable record against Chelsea with a goal and two assists Away from Home albeit with Southampton.  What is worth noting is that these sides faced quite recently in the Super Cup and it was Mane that scored two in that game.  He’s also massively in form and I can see him getting plenty of chances against the suspect Chelsea defence.

Salah – only one of his five goals has come Away from Home against Chelsea, but he is slowly plugging away with four goals and two assists already, this is his best ever start to a Premier League campaign.

Aubameyang – new villain (he’s never played them before), same storyline.  As mentioned previously, on the form he’s in I can’t see Villa stopping him.

 

Stats breakdown

These stats are pulled from the new Fantasy Football Hub OPTA tool that is available to all Members to help you analyse the players and teams.  Eventually, I’m going to focus on specific Home or Away stats dependant on the fixtures, but until we have a reasonable sample size I will be utilising all available data.

 

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