Fantasy football tips for Gameweek 30. In this Fantasy Premier League series FPL Junior (four top 13k finishes in last four seasons) shares his FPL tips by selecting a team each week to try and score as many points as possible. In essence, he will be “free hitting” every single Gameweek. Rather than selecting longer-term options, he’ll solely focus on players with the best form and fixtures for the upcoming Gameweek 30.
Gameweek 30 Team
Chelsea’s defence is hands down the best defence in the league at the moment and I think it’s an easy call to have at least one against West Brom. I’ve gone for a double up against the Baggies with the safest of them all, Mendy, taking the gloves. I’ve gone for a bolder option for the second pick; with his competitor playing Wednesday night, I expect Alonso to start on Saturday morning for the Blues. His upside is the highest out of anyone in the backline. West Brom have struggled offensively and have underperformed their xG showing their quality of attack. They’ve averaged just over one big chance a game lately but I don’t see Chelsea giving them any and it’ll take a quality attack to breach their backline.
Shaw is in to face Brighton. The fullback deservedly got a recall to the England side and only played one game so he should be perfectly fit to play on Sunday. Brighton have some decent underlying numbers going forward but apart from the reverse fixture, they haven’t scored more than once against a big six opponent. Shaw’s been the most creative defender this season and will likely get the nod most weeks when there’s a chance of a clean sheet.
Dallas keeps his place despite a blank in the blank. Sheffield United have accumulated the lowest xG over the last four and sit close to the bottom for nearly all attacking categories. Dallas continues to have the possibility of being played out of position, making him my Leeds defender of choice.
Fernandes faces Brighton at home and he’ll hope he will get an earlier chance to score against Brighton than when he tucked home his penalty in the reverse fixture. Brighton aren’t an easy nut to crack but despite their strong underlying numbers, I can’t see them getting a clean sheet. I don’t think it’s going to be another five goal thriller this time if the Red Devils get their way.
De Bruyne travels to Leicester for the side and after a while off, an international break and Champions League games right around the corner, I’m struggling to see how Pep lines up so I’m going for the safe option. Leicester will be a tough game. Despite their modest defensive numbers, they’ve struggled to keep many clean sheets. The reverse fixture looked promising for the Foxes until City flicked a switch and ended up steamrolling them. I don’t see this happening again, rather a cagey win for City.
This pair completes the Leeds triple up against Sheffield Utd. Raphinha and Bamford continue to be great value at the same price as owning Mohamed Salah. The pair smashed it against Fulham and the former was unlucky not to come away with more and you can say that nearly every Gameweek he plays. It’s just when not if for the Blades and they far and away top for xGC (13.08) over the last five. Some of Sheffield Utd’s defensive stats are unbelievable with their xGC standing at 11.43 over the last four (7.39 is the next worst). They take a clean sweep for all key defensive metrics and they’re going to need some turn around to prevent Leeds from scoring.
Another attacking double features this week with Spurs facing a wretched Newcastle side. Pending he’s back fit, Son pairs up with Kane. Spurs’ form is still a worry but I still think they’ll create more chances than they did in Blank Gameweek 29 with the former back in the team. Newcastle have only stopped Liverpool from scoring against them in all of their games against big six opposition and their defensive numbers are mediocre despite coming off a kind run of fixtures. They’ve also struggled aerially which could spark a great chance for the pair to combine for a goal.
Calvert-Lewin completes the XI in an optimal fixture against Crystal Palace. They’ve been shipping chances and struggle in the air, easily conceding the highest chances in the air this season, where the forward thrives. They haven’t been shipping big chances like but they are conceding a large volume in the box. Everton are unreliable at home and you don’t know if they’re going to turn up or not but I’m backing the fixture in this tie. Calvert-Lewin has had a quiet spell over his tougher run of games but I think he’ll reignite some of his steady and consistent returns over his upcoming run, continuing against Palace.
Button, Lingard, Cresswell and Vestergaard are on the bench this week.
Gameweek 30 Captaincy
Bamford is the skipper for Gameweek 30 as I’m backing Sheffield Utd’s performance to continue as they currently are.
Despite Chelsea’s rather underwhelming attacking performances of late, I’d have liked to include one player against West Brom’s defence. Havertz just looks like the standout option but their defence is clearly a priority if you’re unsure.
An Everton defender like Keane or Digne looks a shrewd option this week against Crystal Palace who have massively struggled going forward but clean sheets have been a rarity at Goodison Park this season. Under 29% of their clean sheets have come at home.
West Ham players only feature on the bench but I wouldn’t be surprised to see either of them do well against Wolves. It’s hard to tell if Wolves will turn up but on most occasions, they haven’t this season. A back five should theoretically make them more solid but their underlying numbers haven’t shown that just yet. Lingard’s the form player outperforming his xGI but he’s the most explosive and always a worthwhile one week punt.