Hub contributor Shaun Thorpe shares his brilliant Sky Fantasy Football tips and Overhaul analysis. He delves into the data from the fixtures to see who performed, who hit those important bonus tiers and who, perhaps, is creeping under the radar ready to prepare his team for this important part of the season.
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Sky Fantasy Football Overhaul Analysis
In this pre-overhaul article, I want to identify those Sky Fantasy players and teams who are going to perform on a consistent basis, either through form or fixtures over the next seven gameweeks and beyond.
I’ll start by digging into the players who have shown the best value in the three gameweeks so far based on their value.
It is still a relatively small sample of three games, where one decent game can sway the figures.
The table above shows us all the available fixtures we currently have so we can see which teams have single game days, which have good fixture swings and where we can hop off and on particular teams. The single game days are
Sept 12th – Leeds v Liverpool
Sept 13th – Everton v Burnley
Sept 17th – Newcastle v Leeds
Sept 27th – Crystal Palace v Brighton
October 18th – Arsenal v Crystal Palace
October 22nd – Arsenal v Aston Villa
November 1st – Wolves v Everton
Best Overhaul Captaincy
Day 9 – Man Utd
Day 10 – Liverpool
Day 11 – Everton
Day 12 – Leeds
Day 13 – Liverpool
Day 14 – Man Utd
Day 15 – Everton
Day 16 – Spurs
Day 17 – Brighton
Day 18 – Chelsea
Day 19 – Spurs
Day 20 – Liverpool
Day 21 – Spurs
Day 22&23 – Arsenal
Day 24 – Chelsea
Day 25 – Spurs
Day 26 – Chelsea
Day 27 – Leeds
Day 28 – Everton/Wolves
In terms of which teams to target, I thought I would go through each individually. What players are appealing, how desirable are their fixtures and opportune moments to get on them.
Sky Overhaul Tips: Team-by-Team Analysis
A poor start to the season on paper, but there are reasons for that. Arsenal faced the two Champions League finalists last season (playing Manchester City with 10 men for more than 45 minutes) and a first time in the Premier League Brentford. Combined with COVID issues, they’ve been unlucky. have been unlucky.
They also have the two single game days back-to-back so at that point you are likely to need someone. The only question is, do you transfer in and out at that point when we know which the best asset is or do you start with one and hold until those games.
I am likely to do both. In my A team it will be an in and out whereas in my B team I will start with Ben White and look to attack the good fixture run they have before the single game days. I fancy him to pick up passing bonus a fair bit in a defence who was the third best last season.
Hopefully some clean sheets should come their way as well. Emile Smith-Rowe was also under consideration however he looks to have some sort of minor illness so best to swerve.
The fixtures have swung for the worse and they look an easy avoid for any overhaul team.
They’ve started really brightly in the league. Two clean sheets brings their cheap defenders into the reckoning as enablers, David Raya is the second best value keeper currently in the game so at only £6.3m is another to consider.
The main option for me is Sergi Canos (£7.3m). He’s hit eight bonus points so far this season and with the midfield being the most difficult spot to fill he could be a decent punt in there.
Attacking wise, I’d avoid Brighton. Defensively they have plenty of options.
Robert Sanchez (£6.5m) is still a great option however it is the defenders who catch my eye. All three of Shane Duffy (£6.6m), Adam Webster (£7m) and Lewis Dunk (£8.2m) could prove gold dust.
Brighton love to pass at the back with all three being in the top 10 for bonus points so far. Webster is top with 10. Their next five games are Brentford, Leicester, Crystal Palace, Arsenal and Norwich. They cover a single game day as well.
Their next two fixtures after that are Manchester City and Liverpool which isn’t great, but there’s an opportunity to have one for the opening five fixtures then transfer to an Arsenal asset.
Adam Webster has surprisingly been a lock in both of my teams from the off. He just offers such bonus potential and great value: it would be foolish not to. My main dilemma is do we double up? Duffy feels like he could lose his spot in a few games so it would be with Dunk and it’s under consideration in my B team.
They do have a single day on Monday 13th September but I would much rather have an Everton asset. They are an avoid as usual.
Where do you begin with Chelsea assets? The whole back line could be picked (maybe Ben Chilwell aside, purely on value in others). Jorginho is a great option who guarantees passing bonus most weeks (weakened slightly if Lukaku takes penalties).
Mason Mount offers you the potential of points from any source. Then there’s Romelu Lukaku.
They play on the first day of each weekend so there is nowhere to pick up an extra game from a transfer. The main question seems to be how many Chelsea defenders do you have and when do you get them.
Personally, I’d start with one. Their three best option are Antonio Rudiger, Cesar Azpilicueta and then Andreas Christensen. Rudiger is probably more nailed but if money is tight I think you can do a lot worse than Christensen.
I could see myself moving onto Christensen after Ben White’s fixtures change.
They are still in transition and could offer decent value in the future, especially defensively. For now with Arsenal and Brighton covering the two single game days, they can be avoided.
With a single game day in the first weekend you need an asset. For me there are only three: Jordan Pickford, Allan and Dominic Calvert-Lewin. If you want three premiums in attack then both Allan or Pickford are decent options. Allan is another who can fill a midfield spot at a cheap price and is likely to make the B team.
I like holding Calvert-Lewin for the first three games vs Burnley, Villa and Norwich and then switch him to Harry Kane on the Sunday prior to his good run of fixtures (as long as you have the funds).
Another early single game day and Raphinha will be popular given how he plays, as well as his ability to slot into the midfield spots. Others to consider are Liam Cooper, Luke Ayling or Stuart Dallas. Dallas fills your midfield slots but I think I just prefer Cooper. If he keeps his spot he’ll rack up passing bonus in most games.
I don’t think you’ll be getting any players for overhaul however (as pointed out by the Planet FPL guys), they do have most of their games paired Sunday followed by Saturday. It could be possible to jump on easily if we need to.
Given the need for a captain on the opening weekend I would say Mohamed Salah is nailed in both teams. No stand out midfield options mean they are an avoid, so it’s whether you also want a defender. I think I would prefer one over a Manchester City defender at least for the first few games.
Similarly to the Chelsea option can Joel Matip cover Virgil Van Djik and Trent Alexander-Arnold given the saving you would make?
I find myself in the position of maybe not having an asset in either of my teams. Their first few fixtures are Leicester, Southampton, Chelsea and Liverpool which is tough, and as we saw earlier I don’t think we need them to cover a captain. It’s the biggest decision I will make.
I have seen people going for Ferran Torres which is understandable but with other assets returning from injury, the rotation will be rife. I would much rather go for a defender in either Ruben Dias or Joao Cancelo.
The biggest debate across most formats is Ronaldo v Bruno, and I think Ronaldo will be the most popular in Sky.
The first game has Man of the Match written all over it for him. I don’t think there are many other assets to consider.
One single game day but an avoid for me.
They do now have a decent run of fixtures so I could see Billy Gilmour coming into consideration as a budget midfield filler, but I think for a little bit more you have better options.
Their fixtures are mixed but they do have two set and forget options who will just tick along nicely throughout the season in James Ward-Prowse and Oriel Romeu. There’s some discussion surrounding Mohamed Elyounoussi who is only £6.3m in the game but will he play?
I think they have been lucky not to concede so far giving up the third most shots in the league so far, and wouldn’t go near them defensively.
Pierre Emile Hojberg has not been as prolific in the bonus points as before, so is again another swerve. For me it is all on one man, Harry Kane.
He is the stand out captain option on a few occasions so I think he is needed. As mentioned above, the Calvert-Lewin to Kane switch makes perfect sense. Four Everton games (Burnley with captaincy, Villa and Norwich) over Tottenham’s two games (Palace and Chelsea).
They do have three good fixtures up next but there is just no one I really want. Their defence is dirt cheap as are a couple of attacking assets but I just think I would rather have more assured assets.
Defensively, they are an avoid so it is either Said Benrahma or Michail Antonio. I can see the benefit of the Benrahma pick covering an exciting attack as well as a midfield spot but the trickiest decision is on Antonio, who is responsible for my high rank due to his amazing start.
However given Salah and Ronaldo are locks it only leaves one spot and I feel the need for an Everton captaincy sways it to Calvert-Lewin, maybe in my B team I will have Allan to enable the top points scorer so far.
Much has been made of the amazing fixture run they now have (no Top 6 team until December 4th) but I am not sure who I’d go for. Raul Jiminez has looked a bit off so far and takes up a striker slot. Adama Traore looks like if he was to jump in a swimming pool he would somehow miss and stay dry. It’s also ambiguous who will start for them at the back.
It leads me to Jose Sa, who is a decent shot-stopper and should hopefully benefit from the excellent run with some clean sheets.
I will update my final squads closer to the deadline when I have a bit more time to delve into the planner!
Good luck to you all!
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