This is a brand new FPL members article that looks at an in-depth captaincy analysis. New hub contributor and FPL genius Chris Tan will be guiding you through the captaincy decision. The first half is free, but a more in-depth look at the underlying numbers and Chris's conclusion is members only. 

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Right, back to the article...

Gameweek 28 Recap

With the exception of Wolves, results wise this was a fairly predictable Gameweek, however some of the beneficiaries were not quite as expected.

Who did I tip?

  • Aguero (9) – he had the best individual stats with the second best team attacking stats and the weakest opposition stats. His solitary goal wasn’t the haul we were all expecting, but he managed to pick up 3 bonus points to give a pretty decent return.
  • Aubameyang (7) – I was very worried about him and I think I got off lightly with just a goal and bonus point.
  • Salah (3)– when Liverpool win 5-0 and with his history against Watford you would not expect him to have blanked here.  With Mane taking the centre forward role and outperforming him there are some concerns.  However, he was unlucky not to score hitting the post, he had more than twice as many penalty area touches as anyone else and the reintroduction of TAA appears to have given him more space. 

The Unexpected

Gameweek 28 was the return of the forgotten men – Lukaku (12), Ozil (12) and Mkhitaryan (16).  Even when Rashford is fit, it appears that Ole fancies the big man up top and he’s shown over his career that he’s a flat track bully, which is ideal for an FPL asset.  Emery shocked us all by actually playing some creative midfielders and both of them have demonstrated what they can offer.  This is definitely something to keep an eye on.

What did we learn?

At the beginning of the season, we had the RAM (Robertson – Alonso – Mendy) template and it resulted in some mega points hauls.  This transitioned to using more money up front and then back to the midfield.  The recent Gameweek shows us that if you choose the right defenders that have a good chance of a clean sheet (CS) and attacking return potential then you’ve got a great recipe for some double figure hauls, as any return will tend to be accompanied by bonus points.  I’m not a fan of captaining a defender, but at this stage of the season where everyone is tightening up it could lead to some spectacular returns.

Looking at the top scoring defenders for GW28:

Opening

The fixtures are coming so quickly it’s hard to prepare.  Gameweek 28 was pretty meh and for some of you (myself included), you’re running out of time to make up ground on your mini-league leaders / to push up the overall ranks.  This is the time where it could pay dividends to do something slightly different.

 

Fixtures

GW 29 Fixtures

 

Despite there not being as many standout options there are still some great fixtures this Gameweek.  At a glance, the following fixtures stand out to me:

  • Spurs v Arsenal – although it's a top 6 clash, Spurs need a result after getting beat by Chelsea and Arsenal don’t defend well away from home.
  • Bournemouth v Man City – Bournemouth are more defensively solid at home, but they’re still relatively leaky and Man City can put anyone to the sword.  The City squad are fairly fatigued though, so they might get off lightly.
  • Brighton v Huddersfield – I still see Huddersfield as whipping boys, despite their shock result against Wolves.  Brighton are pretty solid at home but I don’t expect a goal fest.
  • Man United v Southampton – despite looking a lot better under Hasenhüttl, you’d have to fancy United here, but keep in mind that they may have one eye on the Champions League next week.
  • Wolves v Cardiff– Cardiff’s mini-resurgence appears to be over and they’ve become whipping boys again.  Wolves will be eager to make up for their mid-week defeat.
  • Watford v Leicester – Watford have just been hammered and Leicester will have the new manager bounce so I’m expecting goals here.
  • Fulham v Chelsea – Fulham can’t defend and Chelsea should put them to the sword, the win against Spurs should have boosted morale but you just never know with Chelsea this season.

 

Twitter Poll

https://twitter.com/FFootballHub/status/1101045020147306497

 

Old Haunting Ground – do any of these picks have a good history vs their opposition?

GW 29 Past Performance

Both Aguero and Sterling look promising here.  Sterling was rested the last match and he could do some damage this Gameweek.  Lukaku also looks like he might add to his recent tally and Kane likes to play Arsenal.  For those that still hold Aubameyang if you have other fires to put out, it might be worth holding him a little longer.

I was going to include Gross but he’s been confirmed as injured in the recent press conference.

*Salah - has played two and scored one vs Everton.

Members Only

All stats are from OPTA and are based on the last four home or away games dependant on where the next fixture is for the respective player/team